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Bundesliga

Referee: F Zwayer

Mainz

T U S U T

0–1

Full-time

FC Koln

T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mainz FC Koln

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

3,7

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 10%

10%

Points per game

0,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

80%

60%

Both score Ø 85%

80%

90%

Average goals

3,6

2,9

Scored

1,2

Conceded

2,4

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%

15 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 3

2 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Mainz 17. · FC Koln 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	10	7	2	1	+18	23
2	Leverkusen	10	6	4	0	+10	22
3	RB Leipzig	10	6	3	1	+12	21
4	Wolfsburg	11	5	6	0	+7	21
5	Dortmund	10	6	1	3	+12	19
6	Union Berlin	10	4	4	2	+8	16
7	M'gladbach	10	4	4	2	+3	16
8	Stuttgart	10	3	5	2	+3	14
9	Ein Frankfurt	11	2	7	2	-3	13
10	Hoffenheim	10	3	3	4	+1	12
11	Augsburg	10	3	3	4	-3	12
12	Hertha	10	3	2	5	-1	11
13	Werder Bremen	10	2	5	3	-3	11
14	Freiburg	10	1	5	4	-10	8
15	FC Koln	10	1	4	5	-5	7
16	Bielefeld	10	2	1	7	-12	7
17	Mainz	10	1	2	7	-12	5
18	Schalke 04	10	0	3	7	-25	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	5	5	0	0	+11	15
2	Wolfsburg	6	4	2	0	+5	14
3	Bayern Munich	5	3	2	0	+14	11
4	Dortmund	5	3	0	2	+8	9
5	M'gladbach	5	2	3	0	+4	9
6	Union Berlin	5	2	2	1	+7	8
7	Leverkusen	4	2	2	0	+3	8
8	Hoffenheim	5	2	1	2	+2	7
9	Ein Frankfurt	5	1	4	0	+1	7
10	Augsburg	5	2	1	2	-1	7
11	Bielefeld	5	2	0	3	-4	6
12	Werder Bremen	5	1	2	2	-3	5
13	Hertha	5	1	1	3	-5	4
14	Stuttgart	5	0	3	2	-3	3
15	Freiburg	5	0	3	2	-4	3
16	FC Koln	6	0	2	4	-5	2
17	Mainz	5	0	2	3	-5	2
18	Schalke 04	5	0	2	3	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leverkusen	6	4	2	0	+7	14
2	Bayern Munich	5	4	0	1	+4	12
3	Stuttgart	5	3	2	0	+6	11
4	Dortmund	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Union Berlin	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Hertha	5	2	1	2	+4	7
7	Wolfsburg	5	1	4	0	+2	7
8	M'gladbach	5	2	1	2	-1	7
9	RB Leipzig	5	1	3	1	+1	6
10	Werder Bremen	5	1	3	1	+0	6
11	Ein Frankfurt	6	1	3	2	-4	6
12	FC Koln	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Hoffenheim	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Augsburg	5	1	2	2	-2	5
15	Freiburg	5	1	2	2	-6	5
16	Mainz	5	1	0	4	-7	3
17	Bielefeld	5	0	1	4	-8	1
18	Schalke 04	5	0	1	4	-18	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.