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Ligue 2

Chateauroux

T S U T T

0–3

Full-time

Toulouse

T U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chateauroux Toulouse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,3

3,8

Scored

0,7

2,2

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 32%

21%

43%

Points per game

0,9

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

43%

50%

Both score Ø 54%

50%

57%

Average goals

2,1

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

17 Shots 19

5 Shots on target 9

6 Corners 8

19 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Chateauroux 18. · Toulouse 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	14	8	4	2	+11	28
2	Paris FC	14	8	3	3	+7	27
3	Grenoble	13	8	2	3	+9	26
4	Auxerre	14	7	3	4	+13	24
5	Clermont	14	6	5	3	+10	23
6	Toulouse	14	6	5	3	+6	23
7	Caen	15	6	5	4	+1	23
8	Valenciennes	14	5	5	4	+1	20
9	Dunkerque	14	6	2	6	+1	20
10	Niort	13	6	2	5	-5	20
11	Sochaux	14	4	7	3	+4	19
12	Amiens	14	5	3	6	+0	18
13	Le Havre	14	5	3	6	-6	18
14	Guingamp	14	3	6	5	-2	15
15	Ajaccio	14	3	5	6	-9	14
16	Pau FC	14	3	4	7	-6	13
17	Nancy	13	3	3	7	-5	12
18	Chateauroux	14	3	3	8	-7	12
19	Rodez	14	2	5	7	-11	11
20	Chambly	14	2	5	7	-12	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	7	5	2	0	+7	17
2	Auxerre	8	5	1	2	+13	16
3	Grenoble	6	5	1	0	+8	16
4	Caen	8	4	4	0	+4	16
5	Paris FC	7	4	1	2	+2	13
6	Clermont	7	3	3	1	+6	12
7	Toulouse	8	3	3	2	+4	12
8	Valenciennes	7	3	3	1	+3	12
9	Niort	6	3	2	1	+4	11
10	Sochaux	7	3	2	2	+3	11
11	Dunkerque	7	3	2	2	+2	11
12	Amiens	7	3	2	2	+1	11
13	Pau FC	6	2	2	2	+1	8
14	Le Havre	6	2	2	2	+0	8
15	Guingamp	7	2	2	3	-1	8
16	Rodez	8	2	2	4	-4	8
17	Nancy	5	2	1	2	-1	7
18	Chateauroux	7	2	1	4	-3	7
19	Chambly	8	2	1	5	-7	7
20	Ajaccio	7	1	3	3	-5	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	7	4	2	1	+5	14
2	Troyes	7	3	2	2	+4	11
3	Clermont	7	3	2	2	+4	11
4	Toulouse	6	3	2	1	+2	11
5	Grenoble	7	3	1	3	+1	10
6	Le Havre	8	3	1	4	-6	10
7	Dunkerque	7	3	0	4	-1	9
8	Niort	7	3	0	4	-9	9
9	Sochaux	7	1	5	1	+1	8
10	Auxerre	6	2	2	2	+0	8
11	Valenciennes	7	2	2	3	-2	8
12	Ajaccio	7	2	2	3	-4	8
13	Guingamp	7	1	4	2	-1	7
14	Amiens	7	2	1	4	-1	7
15	Caen	7	2	1	4	-3	7
16	Nancy	8	1	2	5	-4	5
17	Chateauroux	7	1	2	4	-4	5
18	Pau FC	8	1	2	5	-7	5
19	Chambly	6	0	4	2	-5	4
20	Rodez	6	0	3	3	-7	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.