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Pro League
Referee: B Van Driessche
St Truiden
U U T T T
1–2
Full-time
Charleroi
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,2
This season — Pro League · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 27%
12%
41%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
53%
41%
Both score Ø 56%
65%
47%
Average goals
3,1
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

17 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 4
9 Corners 5
5 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Truiden 20. · Charleroi 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 18 10 4 4 +9 34
2 Genk 15 9 5 1 +17 32
3 Beerschot VA 18 10 1 7 +1 31
4 Club Brugge 15 8 4 3 +18 28
5 Antwerp 14 7 5 2 +8 26
6 Charleroi 17 7 4 6 +4 25
7 Anderlecht 15 5 9 1 +9 24
8 Standard 14 6 6 2 +5 24
9 Eupen 17 5 9 3 -1 24
10 Kortrijk 18 6 5 7 -2 23
11 Waregem 17 6 3 8 -5 21
12 Cercle Brugge 18 7 0 11 -5 21
13 Oostende 15 5 4 6 +2 19
14 Gent 15 6 1 8 +1 19
15 Mechelen 13 4 4 5 -3 16
16 Waasland-Beveren 15 4 3 8 -9 15
17 Beveren 15 4 3 8 -9 15
18 Mouscron 16 3 4 9 -14 13
19 Royal Excel Mouscron 16 3 4 9 -14 13
20 St Truiden 17 2 6 9 -12 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Truiden Charleroi
25′
M. Fall 0–1
1–1 D. Nazon
L. Cacace
43′
Half-time 1–1
Samuel Asamoah 🟨
49′
51′
S. Nicholson 1–2
Lee Seung-Woo 🔁
↦ I. Sankhon
68′
68′
🔁 K. Nkuba
↦ S. Berahino
Samuel Asamoah 🟨
69′
Samuel Asamoah 🟥
69′
71′
🟨 Ali Gholizadeh
75′
🟨 Jules Van Cleemput
O. Filippov 🔁
↦ Y. Suzuki
75′
K. Nakamura 🔁
↦ F. Colidio
80′
81′
🔁 A. Benchaib
↦ A. Gholizadeh
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

St Truiden

5-3-2
21 D. Schmidt G
26 Jorge Teixeira D
39 Jonathan Buatu D
3 M. Caufriez D
13 L. Cacace D
12 S. Asamoah M
8 I. Sankhon M
16 S. De Ridder M
90 D. Nazon F
9 Y. Suzuki F
18 F. Colidio F
Bench (7)
10 Lee Seung-Woo
11 O. Filippov
15 K. Nakamura
35 W. Vanmarsenille
24 M. Konaté
30 N. Balongo
4 Pol García

Coach: P. Maes

Charleroi

4-2-3-1
40 R. Descamps G
24 D. Dessoleil D
23 S. Willems D
12 J. Kayembe F
4 J. Van Cleemput D
30 G. Gillet M
44 R. Morioka M
27 M. Fall F
8 A. Gholizadeh F
38 S. Berahino F
16 S. Nicholson F
Bench (7)
28 K. Nkuba
34 A. Benchaib
5 M. Diagne
22 G. Hendrickx
19 Lucas Ribeiro Costa
1 N. Penneteau
77 M. Bruno

Coach: K. Belhocine

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,02
U
3,47
B ✓
2,24
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,84
U2,5
1,95
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Van Driessche · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.