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Super League

Referee: Lionel Tschudi

Thun

T S U T S

2–1

Full-time

Lausanne

U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Thun Lausanne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 92%

100%

83%

Average goals

4,2

4,3

Scored

2,0

2,5

Conceded

2,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

3,0

5,0

Scored

2,0

3,0

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,50 xG 3,17

45% Possession 55%

14 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

8 Corners 3

4 Offside 1

19 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Thun 6. · Lausanne 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.4	6
2	Young Boys	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.4	4
3	Luzern	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
4	Sion	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
5	Lausanne	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.9	3
6	Thun	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
7	Basel	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.2	3
8	Winterthur	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.3	1
9	Zurich	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
10	Lugano	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
11	Grasshoppers	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.8	0
12	Servette	2	0	0	2	-5	-4.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.9	3
2	Lausanne	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.9	3
3	Basel	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.3	3
4	St. Gallen	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
5	Winterthur	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
6	Grasshoppers	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
7	Zurich	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
8	Lugano	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
9	Servette	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.3	3
2	Luzern	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
3	Sion	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
4	Thun	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
5	Young Boys	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
6	Winterthur	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.9	0
7	Grasshoppers	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.3	0
8	Basel	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
9	Servette	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.