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Super League

Referee: S Schärer

Grasshoppers

S U S T U

1–1

Full-time

Thun

U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Grasshoppers Thun

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,8

4,2

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

0,8

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	38	23	8	7	+42	+6.5	77
2	Lugano	38	20	5	13	+16	+11.3	65
3	Servette	38	18	10	10	+16	+28.8	64
4	Zurich	38	16	12	10	+12	+0.4	60
5	St. Gallen	38	16	9	13	+9	+13.1	57
6	Luzern	38	13	10	15	-6	+1.3	49
7	Basel	38	13	10	15	-7	-1.6	49
8	Winterthur	38	13	10	15	-11	-7.2	49
9	Yverdon	38	13	8	17	-21	-19.8	47
10	Lausanne	38	11	12	15	-5	+5.6	45
11	Grasshoppers	38	10	8	20	-8	-13.1	38
12	Lausanne Ouchy	38	7	8	23	-37	-25.3	29

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	19	15	2	2	+37	+8.2	47
2	Yverdon	19	12	4	3	+10	-4.2	40
3	St. Gallen	19	11	4	4	+15	+8.4	37
4	Servette	19	11	4	4	+14	+19.1	37
5	Zurich	19	9	7	3	+8	-1.0	34
6	Lugano	19	10	3	6	+9	+9.0	33
7	Luzern	19	9	5	5	+5	+2.9	32
8	Winterthur	19	9	4	6	+0	+0.3	31
9	Lausanne	19	7	7	5	+5	+8.1	28
10	Grasshoppers	19	8	3	8	+7	-4.1	27
11	Basel	19	7	6	6	+3	+1.5	27
12	Lausanne Ouchy	19	3	6	10	-21	-10.8	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	19	10	2	7	+7	+2.2	32
2	Young Boys	19	8	6	5	+5	-1.7	30
3	Servette	19	7	6	6	+2	+9.7	27
4	Zurich	19	7	5	7	+4	+1.3	26
5	Basel	19	6	4	9	-10	-3.1	22
6	St. Gallen	19	5	5	9	-6	+4.7	20
7	Winterthur	19	4	6	9	-11	-7.5	18
8	Lausanne	19	4	5	10	-10	-2.5	17
9	Luzern	19	4	5	10	-11	-1.6	17
10	Lausanne Ouchy	19	4	2	13	-16	-14.5	14
11	Grasshoppers	19	2	5	12	-15	-9.0	11
12	Yverdon	19	1	4	14	-31	-15.6	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.