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Super League
Referee: U Schnyder
Thun
T S T S U
1–2
Full-time
Grasshoppers
U S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Thun Grasshoppers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,5
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
2,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 1/39 matches
Win Ø 13%
0%
26%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 19%
0%
38%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
49%
Average goals
2,0
2,4
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,85 xG 1,11
1 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Young Boys 38 23 8 7 +42 +6.5 77
2 Lugano 38 20 5 13 +16 +11.3 65
3 Servette 38 18 10 10 +16 +28.8 64
4 Zurich 38 16 12 10 +12 +0.4 60
5 St. Gallen 38 16 9 13 +9 +13.1 57
6 Luzern 38 13 10 15 -6 +1.3 49
7 Basel 38 13 10 15 -7 -1.6 49
8 Winterthur 38 13 10 15 -11 -7.2 49
9 Yverdon 38 13 8 17 -21 -19.8 47
10 Lausanne 38 11 12 15 -5 +5.6 45
11 Grasshoppers 39 10 9 20 -8 -13.1 39
12 Lausanne Ouchy 38 7 8 23 -37 -25.3 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. May -24 Grasshoppers – Thun 1–1

Match report

Thun Grasshoppers
3′
G. Morandi 0–1
D. Abels
42′
🟨 Tsiy William Ndenge
1–1 K. Kone
43′
Half-time 1–1
52′
🟨 Dirk Abels
Jan Bamert 🟨
54′
68′
🔁 Asumah Abubakar
↦ F. de Carvalho
V. Matoshi 🔁
↦ V. Janjičić
76′
M. Castroman 🔁
↦ Daniel Dos Santos
76′
I. Sacko 🔁
↦ M. Gutbub
76′
K. Djacko 🔁
↦ D. Franke
81′
N. Toggenburger 🔁
↦ J. Roth
91′
91′
Asumah Abubakar 1–2
K. Tobers
Koro Koné 🟥
95′
95′
🟨 Awer Mabil
95′
🔁 T. Meyer
↦ A. Abrashi
95′
🔁 M. Paskotši
↦ A. Mabil
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Thun

4-3-1-2
38 Mateo Matić G
37 Lucien Dähler D
34 Nicola Sutter D
19 Jan Bamert D
5 Dominik Franke D
6 Leonardo Bertone M
8 Vasilije Janjičić M
16 Justin Roth M
27 Daniel Dos Santos Correia M
33 Marc Gutbub F
20 Koro Koné F
Bench (9)
7 Miguel Castroman
10 Ihsan Sacko
78 Valmir Matoshi
18 Kevin Djacko
22 Nino Ziswiler
30 Leotrim Dushica
17 Nando Toggenburger
46 Helios Sessolo
21 Uroš Vasić

Grasshoppers

4-2-3-1
71 Justin Hammel G
2 Dirk Abels D
4 Kristers Tobers D
15 Ayumu Seko D
14 Théo Ndicka Matam D
7 Tsiy William Ndenge M
6 Amir Abrashi M
77 Filipe de Carvalho Ferreira M
8 Giotto Morandi M
21 Awer Mabil M
22 Francis Momoh F
Bench (9)
27 Asumah Abubakar
26 Maksim Paskotsi
29 Manuel Kuttin
5 Joshua Laws
73 Florian Hoxha
11 Pascal Schürpf
9 Bradley Fink
99 Dorian Babunski
53 Tim Meyer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

U Schnyder · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.