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Super League

Referee: L Cibelli

Grasshoppers

T T T S T

1–3

Full-time

Thun

T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Grasshoppers Thun

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,7

Scored

1,3

2,2

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 45%

21%

68%

Points per game

0,9

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

58%

74%

Both score Ø 63%

58%

68%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

1,4

2,1

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

52% Possession 48%

8 Shots 20

2 Shots on target 8

1 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 8

0 Offside 5

13 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Grasshoppers 11. · Thun 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	19	13	1	5	+16	+1.2	40
2	St. Gallen	19	12	1	6	+16	+4.2	37
3	Lugano	20	11	3	6	+8	-0.5	36
4	Basel	19	9	5	5	+8	+12.3	32
5	Sion	19	8	6	5	+6	+3.4	30
6	Young Boys	20	8	5	7	-2	-1.0	29
7	Lausanne	20	7	6	7	+3	+6.2	27
8	Zurich	20	7	4	9	-7	+2.2	25
9	Luzern	20	5	6	9	-3	-3.0	21
10	Servette	20	5	6	9	-7	+2.1	21
11	Grasshoppers	19	4	5	10	-9	-12.4	17
12	Winterthur	19	2	4	13	-29	-14.8	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	10	6	2	2	+8	+1.6	20
2	Thun	10	6	1	3	+7	-1.1	19
3	St. Gallen	10	6	0	4	+9	+6.6	18
4	Young Boys	10	5	2	3	+6	+5.7	17
5	Sion	10	5	2	3	+6	+0.3	17
6	Basel	9	4	3	2	+7	+14.0	15
7	Lausanne	10	4	2	4	+3	+7.5	14
8	Zurich	10	4	1	5	-3	+3.9	13
9	Servette	10	2	4	4	-3	+0.8	10
10	Grasshoppers	9	2	3	4	+1	-4.0	9
11	Luzern	10	1	4	5	-2	+2.6	7
12	Winterthur	9	1	2	6	-8	-3.6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	9	7	0	2	+9	+2.3	21
2	St. Gallen	9	6	1	2	+7	-2.3	19
3	Basel	10	5	2	3	+1	-1.7	17
4	Lugano	10	5	1	4	+0	-2.1	16
5	Luzern	10	4	2	4	-1	-5.6	14
6	Sion	9	3	4	2	+0	+3.1	13
7	Lausanne	10	3	4	3	+0	-1.4	13
8	Zurich	10	3	3	4	-4	-1.6	12
9	Young Boys	10	3	3	4	-8	-6.7	12
10	Servette	10	3	2	5	-4	+1.4	11
11	Grasshoppers	10	2	2	6	-10	-8.3	8
12	Winterthur	10	1	2	7	-21	-11.2	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.