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Super League
Referee: F San
Thun
T S T S S
1–1
Full-time
Luzern
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Thun Luzern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,8
This season — Super League · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 32%
23%
41%
Points per game
0,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
59%
45%
Both score Ø 46%
50%
41%
Average goals
3,0
2,4
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%
14 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Thun 10. · Luzern 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gallen 22 14 2 6 +20 44
2 Young Boys 22 13 5 4 +15 44
3 Basel 22 12 3 7 +24 39
4 Servette 22 10 6 6 +15 36
5 Zurich 22 9 4 9 -17 31
6 Luzern 22 9 3 10 -5 30
7 Lugano 22 6 7 9 -3 25
8 Sion 22 6 4 12 -13 22
9 Xamax 22 3 9 10 -13 18
10 Thun 22 5 3 14 -23 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Thun Luzern
4′
F. Margiotta 0–1
1–1 R. Munsy
N. Hasler
9′
18′
🟨 Darian Males
Miguel Castroman 🟨
37′
44′
🟨 Marco Burki
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 S. Sidler
↦ C. Schwegler
57′
🔁 M. Schulz
↦ I. Voca
H. Bandé 🔁
↦ R. Munsy
66′
72′
🔁 B. Eleke
↦ S. Demhasaj
Hassane Bandé 🟨
81′
H. Ahmed 🔁
↦ M. Castroman
89′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Thun

4-3-1-2
1 G. Faivre G
31 S. Glarner D
28 N. Hasler M
5 N. Havenaar D
34 N. Sutter D
20 C. Kablan D
7 M. Castroman M
16 L. Bertone M
10 B. Stillhart M
13 S. Rapp F
9 R. Munsy F
Bench (7)
27 H. Bandé
15 H. Ahmed
37 D. Salanović
30 A. Hirzel
11 M. Tosetti
39 S. Joss
4 M. Rodrigues

Coach: M. Schneider

Luzern

4-4-2
32 M. Müller G
27 C. Schwegler D
5 Lucão D
6 M. Bürki D
4 S. Knežević D
42 I. Voca M
8 W. Ndenge M
77 Ryder Matos M
9 F. Margiotta F
20 S. Demhasaj F
29 D. Males M
Bench (7)
34 S. Sidler
15 M. Schulz
10 B. Eleke
23 S. Enzler
17 S. Grether
21 A. Balaruban
25 D. Mistrafovic

Coach: F. Celestini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F San · 140 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.