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Super League

Referee: Desiree Blanco

Servette

T T S S T

0–1

Full-time

Thun

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Servette Thun

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,5

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,0

3,3

Scored

2,0

2,2

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 54%

33%

75%

Points per game

1,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

75%

Average goals

3,7

3,3

Scored

1,7

2,1

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,78 xG 1,17

60% Possession 40%

18 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

20 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Servette 10. · Thun 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	12	9	1	2	+11	-3.3	28
2	Basel	12	7	1	4	+7	+7.6	22
3	St. Gallen	11	7	0	4	+12	+2.9	21
4	Young Boys	12	5	4	3	-1	-2.7	19
5	Sion	12	5	3	4	+3	+4.8	18
6	Luzern	13	4	5	4	+4	-0.3	17
7	Lugano	11	5	1	5	-1	+2.7	16
8	Zurich	13	5	1	7	-6	+3.4	16
9	Lausanne	12	4	3	5	+4	+4.5	15
10	Servette	12	4	2	6	-4	+0.8	14
11	Grasshoppers	13	3	4	6	-9	-10.5	13
12	Winterthur	13	1	3	9	-20	-9.8	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	6	4	1	1	+5	-3.9	13
2	Lugano	6	4	1	1	+5	+1.3	13
3	St. Gallen	6	4	0	2	+10	+4.1	12
4	Basel	5	4	0	1	+8	+10.0	12
5	Young Boys	6	3	2	1	+5	+3.3	11
6	Lausanne	6	3	0	3	+6	+5.6	9
7	Zurich	7	3	0	4	-3	+3.5	9
8	Grasshoppers	6	2	2	2	+3	-2.0	8
9	Servette	6	2	2	2	-1	+0.7	8
10	Sion	6	2	1	3	+1	-0.2	7
11	Luzern	6	1	3	2	+4	+2.6	6
12	Winterthur	7	1	2	4	-4	-1.8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	6	5	0	1	+6	+0.6	15
2	Sion	6	3	2	1	+2	+5.0	11
3	Luzern	7	3	2	2	+0	-2.9	11
4	Basel	7	3	1	3	-1	-2.4	10
5	St. Gallen	5	3	0	2	+2	-1.2	9
6	Young Boys	6	2	2	2	-6	-6.0	8
7	Zurich	6	2	1	3	-3	-0.1	7
8	Lausanne	6	1	3	2	-2	-1.1	6
9	Servette	6	2	0	4	-3	+0.1	6
10	Grasshoppers	7	1	2	4	-12	-8.5	5
11	Lugano	5	1	0	4	-6	+1.4	3
12	Winterthur	6	0	1	5	-16	-8.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.