Super League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sion
Thun
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Young Boys
|
35 | 24 | 9 | 2 | +43 | 81 |
| 2 |
Basel
|
36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | +7 | 53 |
| 3 |
Servette
|
36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 50 |
| 4 |
Lugano
|
36 | 12 | 13 | 11 | -2 | 49 |
| 5 |
Luzern
|
36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | +3 | 46 |
| 6 |
Lausanne
|
35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | -1 | 46 |
| 7 |
St. Gallen
|
36 | 11 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 44 |
| 8 |
Zurich
|
36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | -4 | 43 |
| 9 |
Sion
|
37 | 9 | 14 | 14 | -7 | 41 |
| 10 |
Vaduz
|
36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | -22 | 36 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Thun
Sion
Sion
Basel
Lugano
Sion
Sion
Luzern
St. Gallen
Sion
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.