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Bundesliga

Referee: J Weinberger

Wolfsberger AC

S U S T T

1–1

Full-time

Sturm Graz

T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsberger AC Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,3

3,8

Scored

2,2

1,8

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 57%

50%

64%

Points per game

1,6

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 73%

68%

77%

Both score Ø 62%

59%

64%

Average goals

3,4

3,6

Scored

2,0

2,3

Conceded

1,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%

12 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 8

0 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Wolfsberger AC 4. · Sturm Graz 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	22	14	4	4	+23	46
2	Austria Vienna	22	14	4	4	+17	46
3	Salzburg	22	10	8	4	+11	38
4	Wolfsberger AC	22	11	3	8	+14	36
5	SK Rapid	22	9	7	6	+8	34
6	LASK	23	10	4	9	+1	34
7	BW Linz	22	10	3	9	+1	33
8	Hartberg	23	6	8	9	-8	26
9	A. Klagenfurt	23	6	6	11	-21	24
10	Tirol	23	4	8	11	-11	20
11	Grazer AK	23	3	8	12	-18	17
12	Altach	23	3	7	13	-17	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Austria Vienna	11	9	1	1	+14	28
2	Sturm Graz	11	8	2	1	+20	26
3	SK Rapid	11	8	1	2	+13	25
4	Salzburg	11	7	3	1	+16	24
5	BW Linz	11	7	0	4	+7	21
6	Wolfsberger AC	11	5	2	4	+6	17
7	Hartberg	12	4	4	4	-1	16
8	LASK	11	4	2	5	-1	14
9	A. Klagenfurt	11	3	4	4	-2	13
10	Tirol	11	1	6	4	-6	9
11	Altach	12	1	5	6	-5	8
12	Grazer AK	12	1	5	6	-7	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	11	6	2	3	+3	20
2	LASK	12	6	2	4	+2	20
3	Wolfsberger AC	11	6	1	4	+8	19
4	Austria Vienna	11	5	3	3	+3	18
5	Salzburg	11	3	5	3	-5	14
6	BW Linz	11	3	3	5	-6	12
7	Tirol	12	3	2	7	-5	11
8	A. Klagenfurt	12	3	2	7	-19	11
9	Hartberg	11	2	4	5	-7	10
10	SK Rapid	11	1	6	4	-5	9
11	Grazer AK	11	2	3	6	-11	9
12	Altach	11	2	2	7	-12	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.