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LaLiga2
Referee: Marta Huerta
Oviedo
S T T U T
2–1
Full-time
Malaga
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oviedo Malaga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
1,8
2,0
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 36%
44%
28%
Points per game
1,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
44%
38%
Both score Ø 47%
50%
44%
Average goals
2,5
2,1
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
15 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 8
3 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oviedo 7. · Malaga 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Elche 33 17 9 7 +19 60
2 Levante 33 16 11 6 +18 59
3 Santander 33 17 8 8 +15 59
4 Mirandes 32 17 7 8 +17 58
5 Almeria 33 14 11 8 +12 53
6 Huesca 32 14 9 9 +14 51
7 Oviedo 32 14 9 9 +5 51
8 Granada 33 13 10 10 +8 49
9 Burgos 33 13 7 13 -5 46
10 La Coruna 33 11 12 10 +5 45
11 Cordoba 33 12 9 12 -2 45
12 Cadiz 32 11 11 10 +2 44
13 Eibar 32 12 8 12 -1 44
14 Albacete 32 11 10 11 +1 43
15 Malaga 32 9 15 8 -1 42
16 Sp Gijon 32 9 14 9 +2 41
17 Castellon 33 11 8 14 -2 41
18 Zaragoza 33 9 10 14 -4 37
19 Eldense 33 9 9 15 -13 36
20 Tenerife 33 7 7 19 -18 28
21 Ferrol 33 4 11 18 -34 23
22 Cartagena 33 4 5 24 -38 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oviedo Malaga
Oier Luengo 🟨
12′
Half-time 0–0
Jaime Seoane 🔁
↦ I. Chaira
69′
Alemão 🔁
↦ F. Viñas
69′
Paulino de la Fuente 🔁
↦ Santi Cazorla
69′
69′
🔁 Kevin Medina
↦ Antoñito Cordero
1–0 S. Colombatto
Dani Calvo
74′
78′
🔁 A. Moloney
↦ David Larrubia
78′
🔁 Dioni
↦ Luismi
85′
Dioni 1–1
Kevin Medina
Sebas Moyano 🔁
↦ H. Hassan
86′
88′
🔁 Rafa Rodríguez
↦ Julen Lobete
88′
🔁 Y. Rahmani
↦ Chupe
1–2 Manu Molina
own goal
93′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Oviedo

4-4-2
13 Aarón Escandell G
5 Nacho Vidal D
15 Oier Luengo D
12 Dani Calvo D
21 Carlos Pomares D
23 H. Hassan M
6 K. Sibo M
11 S. Colombatto M
16 I. Chaira M
8 Santi Cazorla F
19 F. Viñas F
Bench (12)
20 Jaime Seoane
9 Alemão
18 Paulino de la Fuente
7 Sebas Moyano
3 R. Alhassane
14 D. Paraschiv
24 Lucas Ahijado
1 Q. Braat
17 César de la Hoz
10 Portillo
27 Álex Cardero
31 C. Eze

Coach: Roberto Aguirre

Malaga

4-4-2
1 Alfonso Herrero G
3 Puga D
20 Nélson Monte D
4 Einar Galilea D
14 Víctor García D
10 David Larrubia M
12 Manu Molina M
19 Luismi M
26 Antoñito Cordero M
27 Chupe F
24 Julen Lobete F
Bench (12)
11 Kevin Medina
35 A. Moloney
17 Dioni
37 Rafa Rodríguez
21 Y. Rahmani
18 Dani Sánchez
9 R. Baturina
23 Sangalli
5 Álex Pastor
32 Rafael Garrido
13 Carlos López
16 Diego Murillo

Coach: Sergio Pellicer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,64
U
3,58
B
5,43
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,36
U2,5
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Marta Huerta · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.