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Superligaen

Referee: J Karlsen

Aarhus

S S U U T

2–0

Full-time

Nordsjaelland

S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Nordsjaelland

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

4,0

3,3

Scored

2,3

1,7

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 43%

41%

45%

Points per game

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

45%

68%

Both score Ø 71%

64%

77%

Average goals

3,0

3,4

Scored

1,9

1,8

Conceded

1,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%

16 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Aarhus 3. · Nordsjaelland 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	22	14	3	5	+15	+4.5	45
2	FC Copenhagen	22	11	8	3	+14	+11.7	41
3	Aarhus	22	9	9	4	+19	+9.8	36
4	Randers FC	22	9	8	5	+11	+10.6	35
5	Nordsjaelland	22	10	5	7	+3	+7.1	35
6	Brondby	22	8	9	5	+10	+6.7	33
7	Silkeborg	23	8	9	6	+8	+4.6	33
8	Viborg	23	8	7	8	+3	-7.0	31
9	Aalborg	23	5	6	12	-22	-19.1	21
10	Sonderjyske	23	5	5	13	-24	-15.0	20
11	Lyngby	23	3	9	11	-12	-5.3	18
12	Vejle	23	4	4	15	-25	-8.8	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	11	10	0	1	+11	+4.1	30
2	Nordsjaelland	11	7	4	0	+12	+5.9	25
3	FC Copenhagen	11	7	4	0	+11	+8.6	25
4	Aarhus	11	6	5	0	+16	+8.2	23
5	Brondby	11	5	5	1	+8	+4.4	20
6	Viborg	11	6	2	3	+3	-4.5	20
7	Randers FC	11	5	3	3	+7	+7.2	18
8	Silkeborg	11	4	4	3	+2	+1.4	16
9	Sonderjyske	12	3	3	6	-13	-8.4	12
10	Aalborg	12	3	3	6	-13	-9.6	12
11	Lyngby	12	2	5	5	-6	+0.0	11
12	Vejle	11	2	3	6	-10	-0.7	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Silkeborg	12	4	5	3	+6	+3.2	17
2	Randers FC	11	4	5	2	+4	+3.4	17
3	FC Copenhagen	11	4	4	3	+3	+3.2	16
4	Midtjylland	11	4	3	4	+4	+0.3	15
5	Aarhus	11	3	4	4	+3	+1.7	13
6	Brondby	11	3	4	4	+2	+2.3	13
7	Viborg	12	2	5	5	+0	-2.5	11
8	Nordsjaelland	11	3	1	7	-9	+1.1	10
9	Aalborg	11	2	3	6	-9	-9.5	9
10	Sonderjyske	11	2	2	7	-11	-6.6	8
11	Lyngby	11	1	4	6	-6	-5.4	7
12	Vejle	12	2	1	9	-15	-8.1	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.