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2. Bundesliga
Referee: T Gansloweit
Regensburg
U T T U T
2–1
Full-time
Nurnberg
S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Regensburg Nurnberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
0,3
1,8
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+1,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 31%
15%
46%
Points per game
0,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
42%
62%
Both score Ø 41%
23%
58%
Average goals
2,6
3,3
Scored
0,5
1,8
Conceded
2,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

35% Possession 65%
8 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
21 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Regensburg 18. · Nurnberg 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 FC Koln 27 15 5 7 +10 50
2 Hamburg 27 13 10 4 +26 49
3 Kaiserslautern 27 13 7 7 +8 46
4 Paderborn 27 12 9 6 +11 45
5 Magdeburg 27 11 10 6 +12 43
6 Hannover 27 11 10 6 +8 43
7 Elversberg 27 11 8 8 +13 41
8 Nurnberg 26 12 5 9 +7 41
9 Fortuna Dusseldorf 27 11 8 8 +3 41
10 Karlsruhe 27 10 7 10 -4 37
11 Schalke 04 26 9 6 11 -3 33
12 Greuther Furth 26 9 6 11 -11 33
13 Hertha 27 9 5 13 -3 32
14 Darmstadt 27 8 7 12 +1 31
15 Preußen Münster 26 6 8 12 -7 26
16 Ulm 27 4 11 12 -6 23
17 Braunschweig 26 5 8 13 -25 23
18 Regensburg 26 4 4 18 -40 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Regensburg Nurnberg
11′
J. Antiste 0–1
J. Castrop
23′
🔁 F. Flick
↦ R. Knoche
Andreas Geipl 🟨
40′
Sargis Adamyan 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–1
R. Bulić 🔁
↦ A. Geipl
46′
0–2 F. Flick
own goal
47′
1–2 N. Ganaus
E. Hottmann
55′
59′
🔁 L. Schleimer
↦ R. Lubach
59′
🔁 F. Gruber
↦ F. Flick
C. Viet 🔁
↦ F. Ananou
63′
Christian Kühlwetter 🟨
72′
S. Ernst 🔁
↦ N. Ganaus
77′
77′
🔁 M. Emreli
↦ J. Antiste
77′
🔁 D. Forkel
↦ O. Karafiát
K. Pröger 🔁
↦ T. Handwerker
86′
E. Huth 🔁
↦ S. Adamyan
86′
90′
🟨 Jens Castrop
93′
🟨 Tim Drexler
94′
🟨 Tim Janisch
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Regensburg

4-3-3
23 J. Pollersbeck G
27 F. Ananou D
37 L. Wurm D
14 R. Ziegele D
2 T. Handwerker D
30 C. Kühlwetter M
8 A. Geipl M
34 A. Suhonen M
20 N. Ganaus F
9 E. Hottmann F
22 S. Adamyan F
Bench (9)
5 R. Bulić
10 C. Viet
15 S. Ernst
33 K. Pröger
29 E. Huth
1 F. Gebhardt
4 F. Ballas
39 D. Galjen
3 B. Hein

Coach: A. Patz

Nurnberg

3-4-2-1
1 J. Reichert G
5 T. Drexler D
31 R. Knoche D
44 O. Karafiát D
32 T. Janisch M
20 C. Jander M
18 R. Lubach M
21 B. Yılmaz M
10 J. Justvan F
17 J. Castrop F
28 J. Antiste F
Bench (9)
6 F. Flick
36 L. Schleimer
4 F. Gruber
30 M. Emreli
34 D. Forkel
3 Danilo Soares
33 N. Seidel
26 C. Mathenia
2 O. Villadsen

Coach: M. Klose

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,33
U
3,54
B
2,08
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,90
U2,5
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Gansloweit · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.