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Super League
Referee: L Tschudi
St. Gallen
S S U U T
1–1
Full-time
Basel
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gallen Basel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
2,7
4,7
Scored
1,3
3,5
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 44%
31%
56%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
56%
63%
Both score Ø 63%
69%
56%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,6
2,4
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,78 xG 0,77
41% Possession 59%
13 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match St. Gallen 8. · Basel 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lugano 17 9 4 4 +9 +2.5 31
2 Basel 16 9 2 5 +22 +11.5 29
3 Servette 16 8 4 4 +3 +0.2 28
4 Lausanne 17 8 3 6 +6 +9.4 27
5 Zurich 17 7 6 4 +1 -2.8 27
6 Luzern 17 7 5 5 +2 +1.8 26
7 Sion 17 6 5 6 +3 +6.8 23
8 St. Gallen 16 5 6 5 +4 -5.1 21
9 Young Boys 17 5 5 7 -5 +1.6 20
10 Yverdon 17 4 5 8 -11 -11.3 17
11 Grasshoppers 17 2 6 9 -11 -0.8 12
12 Winterthur 16 3 3 10 -23 -13.8 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St. Gallen Basel
17′
🟨 Dominik Schmid
1–0 A. Vallci
M. Cisse
38′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Cissé
↦ D. Schmid
46′
🔁 B. Traoré
↦ M. Šotiček
55′
🟨 Leon Avdullahu
C. Akolo 🔁
↦ M. Cisse
61′
B. Toma 🔁
↦ C. Konietzke
61′
Jordi Quintillà 🔁
↦ L. Görtler
61′
Mihailo Stevanović 🟨
62′
62′
🔁 A. Ajeti
↦ Kevin Carlos
74′
🟥 Benie Traore
74′
ℹ️ Benie Traore
VAR: Card upgrade
79′
🔁 F. van Breemen
↦ J. Adjetey
79′
🔁 B. Fink
↦ L. Leroy
F. Mambimbi 🔁
↦ C. Witzig
83′
85′
A. Kade 1–1
X. Shaqiri
Jordi Quintillà 🟨
87′
Víctor Ruiz 🔁
↦ K. Csoboth
88′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

St. Gallen

4-3-3
1 L. Zigi G
28 H. Vandermersch D
15 A. Diaby D
20 A. Vallci D
36 C. Okoroji D
16 L. Görtler M
64 M. Stevanović M
63 C. Konietzke M
7 C. Witzig F
11 M. Cisse F
77 K. Csoboth F
Bench (9)
10 C. Akolo
24 B. Toma
8 Jordi Quintillà
18 F. Mambimbi
30 Víctor Ruiz
23 B. Fazliji
25 L. Watkowiak
22 K. Faber
5 S. Ambrosius

Coach: E. Maaßen

Basel

4-2-3-1
1 M. Hitz G
17 J. Mendes D
26 A. Barišić D
32 J. Adjetey D
31 D. Schmid D
22 L. Leroy M
37 L. Avdullahu M
30 A. Kade M
10 X. Shaqiri M
19 M. Šotiček M
9 Kevin Carlos F
Bench (9)
29 M. Cissé
11 B. Traoré
23 A. Ajeti
25 F. van Breemen
14 B. Fink
21 G. Sigua
18 E. Essiam
13 M. Salvi
4 Arnau Comas

Coach: F. Celestini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Tschudi · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.