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Super League
Referee: S Horisberger
Sion
S S T S T
1–1
Full-time
Basel
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sion Basel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
1,8
2,3
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 60%
60%
60%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
60%
80%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
1,8
2,8
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

42% Possession 58%
8 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 0
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 2
0 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 23
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sion 5. · Basel 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Zurich 4 3 1 0 +6 +1.7 10
2 Luzern 5 3 1 1 +4 -0.6 10
3 Basel 5 3 0 2 +9 +3.9 9
4 St. Gallen 4 3 0 1 +5 -0.8 9
5 Sion 5 3 0 2 +4 +2.9 9
6 Lugano 4 3 0 1 +3 +1.0 9
7 Servette 5 3 0 2 -4 -2.0 9
8 Grasshoppers 5 1 1 3 -3 +0.8 4
9 Winterthur 5 1 1 3 -6 -4.1 4
10 Lausanne 4 1 0 3 -6 -1.0 3
11 Yverdon 5 0 2 3 -5 -1.3 2
12 Young Boys 5 0 2 3 -7 -0.5 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sion Basel
5′
A. Ajeti 0–1
1–1 I. Chouaref
T. Fayulu
26′
Nias Hefti 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 M. Šotiček
↦ A. Ajeti
47′
🟨 Leon Avdullahu
62′
🔁 Kevin Carlos
↦ B. Fink
C. Souza 🔁
↦ T. Bouchlarhem
67′
71′
🔁 B. Kololli
↦ A. Kade
71′
🔁 X. Shaqiri
↦ B. Traoré
D. Sorgić 🔁
↦ D. Djokic
74′
T. Berdayes 🔁
↦ I. Chouaref
74′
75′
🔁 F. Frei
↦ D. Schmid
81′
🟨 Kevin Carlos Omoruyi
Dejan Sorgić 🟨
87′
89′
🟨 Leon Avdullahu
89′
🟥 Leon Avdullahu
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sion

4-3-3
16 T. Fayulu G
14 N. Lavanchy D
5 N. Sow D
2 J. Schmied D
20 N. Hefti D
33 K. Bua M
8 Baltazar Costa M
88 A. Kabacalman M
11 T. Bouchlarhem F
19 D. Djokic F
7 I. Chouaref F
Bench (9)
52 C. Souza
9 D. Sorgić
29 T. Berdayes
21 L. Chipperfield
17 J. Kronig
4 G. Diouf
32 P. Moulin
6 Marquinhos Cipriano
1 H. Lindner

Coach: D. Tholot

Basel

3-4-3
1 M. Hitz G
26 A. Barišić D
32 J. Adjetey D
25 F. van Breemen D
30 A. Kade M
37 L. Avdullahu M
22 L. Leroy M
31 D. Schmid M
14 B. Fink F
23 A. Ajeti F
11 B. Traoré F
Bench (9)
19 M. Šotiček
9 Kevin Carlos
7 B. Kololli
10 X. Shaqiri
20 F. Frei
3 N. Vouilloz
13 M. Salvi
4 Arnau Comas
34 T. Xhaka

Coach: F. Celestini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Horisberger · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.