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Super League

Referee: S Horisberger

Luzern

S T T U U

1–0

Full-time

Yverdon

T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Yverdon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

0,8

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 35%

38%

31%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

52%

66%

Both score Ø 64%

62%

66%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,4

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,79 xG 1,03

48% Possession 52%

11 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 6

1 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Luzern 7. · Yverdon 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	29	16	7	6	+29	+1.5	55
2	Servette	30	15	9	6	+16	+25.7	54
3	Lugano	30	16	4	10	+14	+9.7	52
4	Zurich	30	11	12	7	+10	+3.1	45
5	Winterthur	30	12	9	9	-1	-7.2	45
6	St. Gallen	29	12	6	11	+4	+13.0	42
7	Luzern	29	11	6	12	-4	+2.2	39
8	Lausanne	29	9	8	12	-4	-0.4	35
9	Yverdon	29	9	7	13	-20	-16.9	34
10	Basel	30	9	6	15	-13	-4.8	33
11	Grasshoppers	29	8	6	15	-4	-8.9	30
12	Lausanne Ouchy	30	5	8	17	-27	-17.2	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	14	11	2	1	+28	+5.4	35
2	St. Gallen	15	10	2	3	+12	+7.4	32
3	Servette	15	9	4	2	+14	+17.0	31
4	Winterthur	15	9	3	3	+5	+0.8	30
5	Zurich	15	7	7	1	+9	+1.7	28
6	Yverdon	15	8	4	3	+2	-5.6	28
7	Lugano	15	8	3	4	+8	+7.6	27
8	Luzern	14	8	2	4	+5	+3.2	26
9	Lausanne	14	6	4	4	+6	+3.8	22
10	Grasshoppers	15	6	3	6	+6	-2.8	21
11	Basel	15	5	4	6	+0	-2.0	19
12	Lausanne Ouchy	15	2	6	7	-16	-6.2	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	15	8	1	6	+6	+2.1	25
2	Servette	15	6	5	4	+2	+8.7	23
3	Young Boys	15	5	5	5	+1	-3.9	20
4	Zurich	15	4	5	6	+1	+1.4	17
5	Winterthur	15	3	6	6	-6	-8.0	15
6	Basel	15	4	2	9	-13	-2.8	14
7	Luzern	15	3	4	8	-9	-1.0	13
8	Lausanne	15	3	4	8	-10	-4.2	13
9	Lausanne Ouchy	15	3	2	10	-11	-11.0	11
10	St. Gallen	14	2	4	8	-8	+5.6	10
11	Grasshoppers	14	2	3	9	-10	-6.1	9
12	Yverdon	14	1	3	10	-22	-11.3	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.