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Super League

Referee: F San

Basel

T S U S S

0–1

Full-time

Lugano

T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Lugano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,8

3,2

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 38%

33%

43%

Points per game

1,2

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

62%

76%

Both score Ø 60%

57%

62%

Average goals

2,9

3,4

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,67 xG 1,47

54% Possession 46%

12 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 3

2 Offside 4

12 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Basel 9. · Lugano 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	22	14	5	3	+28	+1.2	47
2	Servette	21	10	8	3	+11	+12.7	38
3	St. Gallen	21	11	3	7	+8	+7.8	36
4	Zurich	21	8	9	4	+13	+1.4	33
5	Luzern	21	9	4	8	-2	+0.8	31
6	Lugano	21	9	3	9	+4	+5.7	30
7	Winterthur	22	8	5	9	-6	-1.3	29
8	Grasshoppers	22	7	4	11	+0	-6.7	25
9	Basel	21	7	4	10	-7	-5.8	25
10	Yverdon	21	6	6	9	-18	-9.2	24
11	Lausanne	22	5	6	11	-8	+1.8	21
12	Lausanne Ouchy	21	3	5	13	-23	-8.4	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	11	9	2	0	+24	+3.7	29
2	St. Gallen	11	9	0	2	+12	+3.6	27
3	Luzern	10	7	1	2	+6	+3.0	22
4	Zurich	11	5	5	1	+7	+0.6	20
5	Servette	10	5	4	1	+8	+6.1	19
6	Winterthur	11	5	3	3	+0	+1.7	18
7	Yverdon	10	5	3	2	-1	+0.1	18
8	Grasshoppers	11	5	2	4	+7	-1.9	17
9	Lugano	11	5	2	4	+2	+2.4	17
10	Lausanne	11	4	3	4	+2	+0.7	15
11	Basel	10	4	2	4	+1	-3.3	14
12	Lausanne Ouchy	11	1	4	6	-15	-3.2	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Servette	11	5	4	2	+3	+6.6	19
2	Young Boys	11	5	3	3	+4	-2.5	18
3	Zurich	10	3	4	3	+6	+0.8	13
4	Lugano	10	4	1	5	+2	+3.4	13
5	Winterthur	11	3	2	6	-6	-2.9	11
6	Basel	11	3	2	6	-8	-2.5	11
7	St. Gallen	10	2	3	5	-4	+4.2	9
8	Luzern	11	2	3	6	-8	-2.3	9
9	Grasshoppers	11	2	2	7	-7	-4.8	8
10	Lausanne Ouchy	10	2	1	7	-8	-5.2	7
11	Lausanne	11	1	3	7	-10	+1.1	6
12	Yverdon	11	1	3	7	-17	-9.3	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.