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Super League
Referee: S Schärer
Young Boys
S T S U S
1–0
Full-time
Lugano
S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Young Boys Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
2,3
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
This season — Super League · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
61%
39%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,6
2,7
Scored
2,4
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
11 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 1
4 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Young Boys 3. · Lugano 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zurich 19 13 4 2 +18 43
2 Basel 18 8 9 1 +19 33
3 Young Boys 18 9 5 4 +21 32
4 Lugano 18 9 3 6 +1 30
5 Servette 19 7 4 8 -2 25
6 Grasshoppers 18 5 8 5 +6 23
7 Sion 18 6 3 9 -11 21
8 St. Gallen 18 4 4 10 -17 16
9 Lausanne 18 2 6 10 -19 12
10 Luzern 18 1 8 9 -16 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Young Boys Lugano
Sandro Lauper 🟨
12′
Christopher Martins Pereira 🟨
33′
Half-time 0–0
M. Sulejmani 🔁
↦ C. Martins
60′
W. Kanga 🔁
↦ F. Mambimbi
60′
62′
🔁 M. Facchinetti
↦ M. Haile-Selassie
66′
🟨 Sandi Lovrić
Vincent Sierro 🟨
69′
L. Blum 🔁
↦ J. Lefort
71′
1–0 C. Fassnacht
M. Sulejmani
72′
76′
🔁 I. Aliseda
↦ K. Hajrizi
C. Zesiger 🔁
↦ V. Sierro
81′
84′
🔁 M. Marić
↦ A. Durrer
84′
🔁 N. Muci
↦ Yuri
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Young Boys

4-4-2
1 A. Racioppi G
28 F. Lustenberger D
25 J. Lefort D
24 Q. Maceiras D
35 C. Martins M
16 C. Fassnacht M
8 V. Sierro M
30 S. Lauper D
32 F. Rieder M
17 J. Siebatcheu F
19 F. Mambimbi F
Bench (8)
10 M. Sulejmani
9 W. Kanga
27 L. Blum
5 C. Zesiger
91 G. Faivre
22 N. Maier
14 N. Bürgy
23 A. Amenda

Coach: D. Wagner

Lugano

3-5-1-1
26 A. Saipi G
3 R. Ziegler D
30 F. Daprelà D
16 N. Lavanchy M
21 Yuri M
4 K. Hajrizi D
24 S. Lovrić M
18 M. Haile-Selassie M
8 A. Durrer M
10 M. Bottani F
19 Ž. Celar F
Bench (7)
7 M. Facchinetti
31 I. Aliseda
5 M. Marić
99 N. Muci
58 S. Osigwe
32 L. Molino
23 L. Srdic

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Schärer · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.