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Super League

Referee: U Schnyder

Young Boys

U U S S S

3–0

Full-time

Lugano

T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Young Boys Lugano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

2,2

1,7

Conceded

0,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+1,2

This season — Super League · 27/28 matches

Win Ø 48%

63%

32%

Points per game

2,2

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

56%

36%

Both score Ø 53%

52%

54%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%

18 Shots 10

10 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Young Boys 1. · Lugano 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	27	17	9	1	+30	60
2	Servette	28	11	8	9	-1	41
3	Lugano	28	9	13	6	+4	40
4	Basel	28	11	6	11	+1	39
5	Lausanne	27	10	7	10	+3	37
6	Zurich	29	9	8	12	-3	35
7	St. Gallen	29	8	10	11	-4	34
8	Luzern	29	8	9	12	+0	33
9	Vaduz	28	8	8	12	-14	32
10	Sion	29	5	12	12	-16	27

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	13	9	3	1	+13	30
2	Lausanne	14	8	0	6	+5	24
3	Servette	14	5	7	2	+4	22
4	Basel	14	5	6	3	+2	21
5	St. Gallen	15	5	5	5	+1	20
6	Luzern	14	4	7	3	+8	19
7	Lugano	14	5	4	5	-2	19
8	Zurich	14	4	4	6	+1	16
9	Sion	15	3	6	6	-7	15
10	Vaduz	14	4	3	7	-8	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	14	8	6	0	+17	30
2	Lugano	14	4	9	1	+6	21
3	Zurich	15	5	4	6	-4	19
4	Servette	14	6	1	7	-5	19
5	Basel	14	6	0	8	-1	18
6	Vaduz	14	4	5	5	-6	17
7	St. Gallen	14	3	5	6	-5	14
8	Luzern	15	4	2	9	-8	14
9	Lausanne	13	2	7	4	-2	13
10	Sion	14	2	6	6	-9	12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.