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Super League
Referee: S Schärer
Lugano
T U U U U
0–2
Full-time
Young Boys
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Young Boys
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,3
3,3
Scored
0,7
2,2
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
This season — Super League · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 47%
31%
62%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
31%
62%
Both score Ø 54%
54%
54%
Average goals
1,9
2,3
Scored
1,1
1,5
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
8 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 2
3 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugano 3. · Young Boys 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 13 8 4 1 +10 28
2 Basel 14 7 2 5 +4 23
3 Lugano 13 4 8 1 +3 20
4 St. Gallen 13 5 5 3 +1 20
5 Zurich 14 5 4 5 +3 19
6 Lausanne 14 5 4 5 +1 19
7 Servette 14 5 4 5 -1 19
8 Luzern 14 3 4 7 -3 13
9 Sion 14 2 7 5 -6 13
10 Vaduz 13 1 4 8 -12 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lugano Young Boys
Miroslav Čovilo 🟨
18′
Half-time 0–0
Mattia Bottani 🟨
54′
55′
C. Fassnacht 0–1
M. Sulejmani
Asumah Abubakar 🔁
↦ M. Bottani
73′
73′
🔁 F. Mambimbi
↦ M. Sulejmani
75′
J. Nsame 0–2
M. Elia
81′
🔁 T. Siebatcheu
↦ J. Nsame
81′
🔁 G. Gaudino
↦ C. Fassnacht
C. Lungoyi 🔁
↦ Á. Kecskés
85′
R. Macek 🔁
↦ O. Custodio
85′
J. Ardaiz 🔁
↦ A. Gerndt
85′
89′
🟨 Michel Aebischer
89′
🔁 Q. Maceiras
↦ S. Hefti
89′
🔁 M. Spielmann
↦ M. Elia
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Lugano

3-4-1-2
46 N. Baumann G
5 M. Marić D
30 F. Daprelà D
16 N. Lavanchy M
4 Á. Kecskés D
3 Adrià Guerrero M
6 M. Čovilo M
14 J. Sabbatini F
20 O. Custodio M
19 A. Gerndt F
10 M. Bottani F
Bench (7)
17 Asumah Abubakar
8 C. Lungoyi
77 R. Macek
23 J. Ardaiz
88 T. Centinaro
91 M. Facchinetti
76 L. Soldini

Coach: M. Jacobacci

Young Boys

4-4-2
26 D. von Ballmoos G
28 F. Lustenberger M
25 J. Lefort D
5 C. Zesiger D
36 S. Hefti D
4 M. Camara D
10 M. Sulejmani M
16 C. Fassnacht M
20 M. Aebischer M
18 J. Nsame F
15 M. Elia F
Bench (7)
19 F. Mambimbi
17 T. Siebatcheu
11 G. Gaudino
24 Q. Maceiras
7 M. Spielmann
14 N. Bürgy
91 G. Faivre

Coach: G. Seoane

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Schärer · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.