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Super League
Referee: A Evangelou
AEK
T T T S S
3–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Asteras Tripolis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,2
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,8
This season — Super League · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 46%
53%
38%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
34%
Both score Ø 47%
53%
41%
Average goals
2,8
2,1
Scored
1,6
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%
12 Shots 4
8 Shots on target 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 0
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AEK 4. · Asteras Tripolis 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 32 26 5 1 +60 83
2 Aris Thessalonikis 30 17 6 7 +18 57
3 Aris 30 17 6 7 +18 57
4 AEK 32 17 6 9 +9 57
5 PAOK 31 14 10 7 +21 52
6 Panathinaikos 33 15 7 11 +10 52
7 Asteras Tripolis 32 12 11 9 -2 47
8 Volos NFC 32 9 12 11 -7 39
9 Giannina 32 9 10 13 -4 37
10 Lamia 31 8 9 14 -20 33
11 Atromitos 32 6 13 13 -16 31
12 Apollon 32 8 6 18 -14 30
13 OFI Crete 32 6 7 19 -24 25
14 Panetolikos 32 5 10 17 -24 25
15 Larisa 31 5 8 18 -25 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AEK Asteras Tripolis
Petros Mantalos 🟨
35′
35′
🟨 Jose Luis Valiente Gimenez
1–0 K. Galanopoulos
P. Mandalos
39′
41′
Adrián Riera 1–1
J. Munafo
Half-time 1–1
C. Albanis 🔁
↦ K. Ansarifard
53′
61′
🔁 M. Iglesias
↦ Sito
D. Szymański 🔁
↦ K. Galanopoulos
63′
76′
🔁 R. Gómez
↦ Adrián Riera
M. Kosidis 🔁
↦ N. Krstičić
84′
2–1 Hélder Lopes
P. Mandalos
85′
88′
🔁 Xesc Regis
↦ Léo Tilica
89′
🔁 S. Baba
↦ José Luis Valiente
89′
🔁 G. Christopoulos
↦ Pepe Castaño
3–1 C. Albanis
M. Kosidis
93′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

AEK

4-2-3-1
30 G. Athanasiadis G
19 D. Chygrynskiy D
3 Hélder Lopes D
88 S. Vasilantonopoulos M
24 E. Svarnas D
6 N. Krstičić M
20 P. Mandalos M
25 K. Galanopoulos M
11 K. Ansarifard F
18 Nélson Oliveira F
9 L. Garcia F
Bench (8)
14 C. Albanis
4 D. Szymański
35 M. Kosidis
5 I. Nedelcearu
53 T. Macheras
40 M. Mitaj
16 V. Chatziemmanouil
1 P. Tsintotas

Coach: Manolo Jiménez

Asteras Tripolis

4-2-3-1
1 N. Papadopoulos G
29 F. Álvarez D
15 Dani Suárez D
2 Rubén García D
19 Pepe Castaño D
12 J. Munafo M
40 Sito F
6 José Luis Valiente M
23 Adrián Riera F
9 J. Barrales F
7 Léo Tilica F
Bench (9)
17 M. Iglesias
20 R. Gómez
11 Xesc Regis
97 S. Baba
45 G. Christopoulos
27 G. Kotsiras
3 C. Tasoulis
99 A. Tsiftsis
14 F. Bellocq

Coach: M. Rastavac

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,52
U
4,01
B
5,79
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,01
U2,5
1,77
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Evangelou · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
30,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.