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Ligue 1

Referee: K Abed

Brest

S T U T U

1–1

Full-time

Lens

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brest Lens

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,2

3,8

Scored

0,8

2,3

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,8

This season — Ligue 1 · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 38%

31%

44%

Points per game

1,1

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

66%

56%

Both score Ø 63%

59%

66%

Average goals

3,1

3,0

Scored

1,4

1,6

Conceded

1,7

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%

7 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

2 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 7

1 Red cards 2

The table before the match Brest 16. · Lens 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	33	20	10	3	+34	70
2	Paris SG	33	22	3	8	+49	69
3	Monaco	32	20	5	7	+29	65
4	Lyon	32	18	10	4	+32	64
5	Lens	32	14	10	8	+7	52
6	Marseille	33	14	10	9	+5	52
7	Rennes	33	14	9	10	+8	51
8	Montpellier	33	12	11	10	-1	47
9	Nice	32	12	7	13	-1	43
10	Metz	32	11	9	12	-2	42
11	Angers	33	11	8	14	-16	41
12	Reims	32	9	13	10	+0	40
13	St Etienne	33	10	9	14	-12	39
14	Strasbourg	32	10	6	16	-9	36
15	Bordeaux	32	10	6	16	-10	36
16	Brest	32	10	6	16	-11	36
17	Lorient	33	8	8	17	-21	32
18	Nimes	32	8	6	18	-28	30
19	Nantes	32	5	13	14	-17	28
20	Dijon	32	2	9	21	-36	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	17	11	5	1	+22	38
2	Paris SG	17	11	1	5	+25	34
3	Lyon	16	10	3	3	+18	33
4	Lille	17	9	6	2	+15	33
5	Marseille	17	9	4	4	+8	31
6	Brest	16	8	3	5	+4	27
7	Lens	16	6	6	4	+4	24
8	Montpellier	17	7	3	7	+0	24
9	Rennes	16	7	3	6	-1	24
10	Lorient	16	7	2	7	-4	23
11	Reims	15	4	7	4	-1	19
12	Metz	16	5	4	7	-2	19
13	Bordeaux	16	5	4	7	-3	19
14	Nice	16	5	3	8	-6	18
15	St Etienne	16	4	6	6	-8	18
16	Angers	16	5	3	8	-8	18
17	Strasbourg	16	4	4	8	-6	16
18	Nantes	16	2	8	6	-9	14
19	Nimes	16	3	3	10	-14	12
20	Dijon	16	0	6	10	-17	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	16	11	4	1	+19	37
2	Paris SG	16	11	2	3	+24	35
3	Lyon	16	8	7	1	+14	31
4	Lens	16	8	4	4	+3	28
5	Rennes	17	7	6	4	+9	27
6	Monaco	15	9	0	6	+7	27
7	Nice	16	7	4	5	+5	25
8	Metz	16	6	5	5	+0	23
9	Montpellier	16	5	8	3	-1	23
10	Angers	17	6	5	6	-8	23
11	Reims	17	5	6	6	+1	21
12	Marseille	16	5	6	5	-3	21
13	St Etienne	17	6	3	8	-4	21
14	Strasbourg	16	6	2	8	-3	20
15	Nimes	16	5	3	8	-14	18
16	Bordeaux	16	5	2	9	-7	17
17	Nantes	16	3	5	8	-8	14
18	Brest	16	2	3	11	-15	9
19	Lorient	17	1	6	10	-17	9
20	Dijon	16	2	3	11	-19	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.