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Pro League
Referee: W Smet
Kortrijk
T T T S S
1–4
Full-time
Mechelen
S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kortrijk Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
4,7
3,2
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
2,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 37/31 matches
Win Ø 43%
38%
48%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
68%
74%
Both score Ø 64%
57%
71%
Average goals
3,1
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

43% Possession 57%
11 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 11
2 Blocked shots 3
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kortrijk 10. · Mechelen 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 31 22 5 4 +48 71
2 Antwerp 32 19 7 6 +19 64
3 Genk 32 16 10 6 +23 58
4 Waregem 37 18 4 15 -2 58
5 Beerschot VA 37 16 6 15 -3 54
6 Mechelen 31 15 7 9 +7 52
7 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 37 14 10 13 -1 52
8 Gent 31 14 6 11 +18 48
9 Oostende 31 14 6 11 +6 48
10 Kortrijk 37 14 6 17 -5 48
11 Eupen 38 11 15 12 -10 48
12 Anderlecht 31 10 16 5 +14 46
13 Charleroi 38 11 12 15 -5 45
14 Cercle Brugge 37 14 2 21 -7 44
15 Standard 31 11 9 11 +4 42
16 St Truiden 37 11 9 17 -11 42
17 Royal Excel Mouscron 33 7 10 16 -20 31
18 Mouscron 34 7 10 17 -22 31
19 Waasland-Beveren 34 8 7 19 -26 31
20 Beveren 33 7 7 19 -27 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kortrijk Mechelen
1–0 F. Selemani
10′
14′
🟨 Steven Defour
28′
K. Mrabti 1–1
35′
N. Storm 1–2
G. Hairemans
Half-time 1–2
T. Chevalier 🔁
↦ H. Guèye
46′
46′
N. Storm 1–3
M. Jonckheere 🔁
↦ E. Ocansey
59′
67′
🔁 I. de Camargo
↦ F. Druijf
71′
🔁 A. Vranckx
↦ K. Mrabti
Michiel Jonckheere 🟨
74′
K. D'Haene 🔁
↦ P. Golubović
80′
A. Palaversa 🔁
↦ J. De Sart
80′
81′
R. Schoofs 1–4
I. de Camargo
85′
🔁 O. Kaya
↦ S. Defour
85′
🔁 M. Shved
↦ G. Hairemans
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Kortrijk

4-4-2
31 M. Ilić G
76 T. Derijck D
4 G. Dewaele D
2 P. Golubović D
66 A. Radovanović D
25 Y. Makarenko M
23 J. De Sart M
93 Z. Gano F
10 F. Selemani M
51 E. Ocansey M
17 H. Guèye F
Bench (7)
9 T. Chevalier
27 M. Jonckheere
30 K. D'Haene
8 A. Palaversa
20 S. Sissoko
6 L. Rougeaux
1 A. Jakubech

Coach: L. Elsner

Mechelen

4-2-3-1
15 Y. Thoelen G
3 L. Bijker D
5 S. Walsh D
23 T. Peyre D
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
88 S. Defour M
7 G. Hairemans M
16 R. Schoofs M
11 N. Storm M
19 K. Mrabti M
9 F. Druijf F
Bench (7)
10 I. de Camargo
40 A. Vranckx
8 O. Kaya
35 M. Shved
4 S. Bateau
28 A. Valkenaers
26 V. Wernersson

Coach: W. Vrancken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,45
U
4,03
B ✓
1,90
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,49
U2,5
2,55
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Smet · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.