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Pro League
Referee: A Boucaut
Oostende
S S T T S
1–1
Full-time
Cercle Brugge
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oostende Cercle Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
This season — Pro League · 31/37 matches
Win Ø 42%
45%
38%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
61%
57%
Both score Ø 55%
61%
49%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
10 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 5
2 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oostende 9. · Cercle Brugge 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 31 22 5 4 +48 71
2 Antwerp 32 19 7 6 +19 64
3 Genk 32 16 10 6 +23 58
4 Waregem 37 18 4 15 -2 58
5 Beerschot VA 37 16 6 15 -3 54
6 Mechelen 31 15 7 9 +7 52
7 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 37 14 10 13 -1 52
8 Gent 31 14 6 11 +18 48
9 Oostende 31 14 6 11 +6 48
10 Kortrijk 37 14 6 17 -5 48
11 Eupen 38 11 15 12 -10 48
12 Anderlecht 31 10 16 5 +14 46
13 Charleroi 38 11 12 15 -5 45
14 Cercle Brugge 37 14 2 21 -7 44
15 Standard 31 11 9 11 +4 42
16 St Truiden 37 11 9 17 -11 42
17 Royal Excel Mouscron 33 7 10 16 -20 31
18 Mouscron 34 7 10 17 -22 31
19 Waasland-Beveren 34 8 7 19 -26 31
20 Beveren 33 7 7 19 -27 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oostende Cercle Brugge
Half-time 0–0
F. Sakala 🔁
↦ M. Thiam
46′
49′
I. Ugbo 0–1
50′
ℹ️ Robbe Decostere
VAR: Penalty confirmed
64′
🟨 Alexander Corryn
68′
🔁 K. Denkey
↦ D. Hotič
I. Boonen 🔁
↦ M. DArpino
78′
N. Bätzner 🔁
↦ J. Bataille
78′
T. Matam 🔁
↦ R. DHaese
78′
78′
🔁 A. Musaba
↦ I. Ugbo
Jack Hendry 🟨
79′
79′
🟨 Giulian Biancone
89′
🔁 A. Deuro
↦ O. Deman
89′
🔁 Vitinho
↦ A. Corryn
Théo Ndicka Matam 🟨
90′
1–1 M. Kvasina
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Oostende

3-5-2
28 G. Hubert G
4 J. Hendry D
15 F. Jäkel D
5 A. Theate D
26 K. Vandendriessche M
17 A. Hjulsager M
6 M. D'Arpino M
25 J. Bataille M
29 R. D'Haese M
19 M. Thiam F
21 M. Kvasina F
Bench (7)
10 F. Sakala
11 I. Boonen
34 N. Bätzner
20 T. Matam
99 B. Castro
27 B. Capon
33 A. Tanghe

Coach: A. Blessin

Cercle Brugge

5-3-2
89 S. Bruzzese G
25 A. Corryn D
41 G. Biancone D
15 S. Pavlović D
8 R. Decostere D
32 A. Cassaert D
28 H. Van der Bruggen M
14 C. Vanhoutte M
23 O. Deman F
10 D. Hotič M
9 I. Ugbo F
Bench (6)
12 K. Denkey
11 A. Musaba
6 A. Deuro
2 Vitinho
26 C. Dekuyper
21 Warleson

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,58
U ✓
4,16
B
5,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,69
U2,5 ✓
2,15
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Boucaut · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.