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Bundesliga

Referee: S Ebner

SK Rapid

U S U S T

0–0

Full-time

Sturm Graz

U S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

SK Rapid Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

2,3

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 54%

58%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

63%

58%

Both score Ø 59%

63%

54%

Average goals

3,3

2,6

Scored

2,1

1,6

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%

17 Shots 12

1 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

13 Corners 3

0 Offside 5

18 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match SK Rapid 2. · Sturm Graz 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	25	20	1	4	+50	61
2	SK Rapid	24	14	6	4	+22	48
3	LASK	25	14	3	8	+18	45
4	Sturm Graz	24	12	6	6	+13	42
5	Wolfsberger AC	25	11	3	11	-5	36
6	Hartberg	25	9	8	8	-12	35
7	Tirol	25	9	6	10	+2	33
8	Austria Vienna	25	8	7	10	+1	31
9	Altach	25	7	4	14	-24	25
10	Ried	25	6	5	14	-22	23
11	St. Polten	25	5	6	14	-13	21
12	Admira	25	4	5	16	-30	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	13	11	0	2	+29	33
2	Sturm Graz	12	9	1	2	+13	28
3	SK Rapid	12	8	2	2	+12	26
4	LASK	12	8	0	4	+15	24
5	Hartberg	12	5	4	3	-2	19
6	Tirol	12	4	4	4	+3	16
7	Altach	12	4	3	5	-6	15
8	Ried	13	4	3	6	-10	15
9	Austria Vienna	12	3	5	4	-2	14
10	Wolfsberger AC	13	3	3	7	-14	12
11	Admira	13	3	2	8	-12	11
12	St. Polten	13	1	3	9	-13	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	12	9	1	2	+21	28
2	Wolfsberger AC	12	8	0	4	+9	24
3	SK Rapid	12	6	4	2	+10	22
4	LASK	13	6	3	4	+3	21
5	Austria Vienna	13	5	2	6	+3	17
6	Tirol	13	5	2	6	-1	17
7	Hartberg	13	4	4	5	-10	16
8	St. Polten	12	4	3	5	+0	15
9	Sturm Graz	12	3	5	4	+0	14
10	Altach	13	3	1	9	-18	10
11	Ried	12	2	2	8	-12	8
12	Admira	12	1	3	8	-18	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.