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La Liga

Referee: César Soto

Ath Madrid

S U S T U

5–0

Full-time

Eibar

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Eibar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,5

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,5

2,0

Scored

0,8

0,5

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,0

This season — La Liga · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 40%

67%

13%

Points per game

2,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

37%

30%

Both score Ø 48%

43%

53%

Average goals

2,4

1,9

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

61% Possession 39%

10 Shots 0

7 Shots on target 0

0 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 3

2 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 1. · Eibar 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	30	20	7	3	+32	67
2	Real Madrid	30	20	6	4	+29	66
3	Barcelona	30	20	5	5	+43	65
4	Sevilla	31	20	4	7	+21	64
5	Sociedad	31	12	11	8	+15	47
6	Betis	30	14	5	11	-3	47
7	Villarreal	30	11	13	6	+10	46
8	Granada	30	11	6	13	-14	39
9	Levante	30	9	11	10	-2	38
10	Ath Bilbao	30	9	10	11	+6	37
11	Celta	30	9	10	11	-7	37
12	Osasuna	31	9	10	12	-9	37
13	Cadiz	30	9	8	13	-18	35
14	Valencia	30	8	10	12	-5	34
15	Getafe	30	7	9	14	-12	30
16	Huesca	30	5	12	13	-14	27
17	Valladolid	30	5	12	13	-14	27
18	Elche	31	5	11	15	-21	26
19	Alaves	30	5	9	16	-23	24
20	Eibar	30	4	11	15	-14	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	15	11	3	1	+21	36
2	Barcelona	15	10	4	1	+23	34
3	Real Madrid	15	11	1	3	+17	34
4	Sevilla	15	11	1	3	+14	34
5	Betis	15	8	3	4	+4	27
6	Granada	15	8	3	4	+1	27
7	Ath Bilbao	15	7	4	4	+10	25
8	Sociedad	16	6	6	4	+7	24
9	Valencia	15	6	6	3	+6	24
10	Villarreal	15	6	6	3	+4	24
11	Levante	15	5	7	3	+2	22
12	Celta	15	6	3	6	-3	21
13	Getafe	16	5	5	6	+2	20
14	Osasuna	16	5	5	6	-4	20
15	Elche	14	3	7	4	-5	16
16	Cadiz	15	4	4	7	-9	16
17	Huesca	15	3	6	6	-4	15
18	Valladolid	15	3	5	7	-8	14
19	Alaves	15	3	5	7	-8	14
20	Eibar	15	1	6	8	-10	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	15	9	5	1	+12	32
2	Barcelona	15	10	1	4	+20	31
3	Ath Madrid	15	9	4	2	+11	31
4	Sevilla	16	9	3	4	+7	30
5	Sociedad	15	6	5	4	+8	23
6	Villarreal	15	5	7	3	+6	22
7	Betis	15	6	2	7	-7	20
8	Cadiz	15	5	4	6	-9	19
9	Osasuna	15	4	5	6	-5	17
10	Celta	15	3	7	5	-4	16
11	Levante	15	4	4	7	-4	16
12	Eibar	15	3	5	7	-4	14
13	Valladolid	15	2	7	6	-6	13
14	Ath Bilbao	15	2	6	7	-4	12
15	Huesca	15	2	6	7	-10	12
16	Granada	15	3	3	9	-15	12
17	Valencia	15	2	4	9	-11	10
18	Getafe	14	2	4	8	-14	10
19	Alaves	15	2	4	9	-15	10
20	Elche	17	2	4	11	-16	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.