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Ligue 1

Referee: B Bastien

Nantes

T S U T T

1–2

Full-time

Lyon

S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Lyon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 36%

16%

56%

Points per game

0,9

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

47%

59%

Both score Ø 66%

69%

63%

Average goals

2,5

2,9

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

49% Possession 51%

12 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nantes 19. · Lyon 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	33	20	10	3	+34	70
2	Paris SG	33	22	3	8	+49	69
3	Monaco	33	21	5	7	+32	68
4	Lyon	32	18	10	4	+32	64
5	Lens	33	14	11	8	+7	53
6	Marseille	33	14	10	9	+5	52
7	Rennes	33	14	9	10	+8	51
8	Montpellier	33	12	11	10	-1	47
9	Metz	33	11	10	12	-2	43
10	Nice	33	12	7	14	-3	43
11	Reims	33	9	14	10	+0	41
12	Angers	33	11	8	14	-16	41
13	St Etienne	33	10	9	14	-12	39
14	Strasbourg	33	10	7	16	-9	37
15	Brest	33	10	7	16	-11	37
16	Bordeaux	33	10	6	17	-13	36
17	Lorient	33	8	8	17	-21	32
18	Nimes	33	8	7	18	-28	31
19	Nantes	32	5	13	14	-17	28
20	Dijon	33	3	9	21	-34	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	17	11	5	1	+22	38
2	Paris SG	17	11	1	5	+25	34
3	Lyon	16	10	3	3	+18	33
4	Lille	17	9	6	2	+15	33
5	Marseille	17	9	4	4	+8	31
6	Brest	17	8	4	5	+4	28
7	Lens	16	6	6	4	+4	24
8	Montpellier	17	7	3	7	+0	24
9	Rennes	16	7	3	6	-1	24
10	Lorient	16	7	2	7	-4	23
11	Reims	16	4	8	4	-1	20
12	Metz	16	5	4	7	-2	19
13	Bordeaux	17	5	4	8	-6	19
14	Nice	16	5	3	8	-6	18
15	St Etienne	16	4	6	6	-8	18
16	Angers	16	5	3	8	-8	18
17	Strasbourg	16	4	4	8	-6	16
18	Nantes	16	2	8	6	-9	14
19	Nimes	17	3	4	10	-14	13
20	Dijon	17	1	6	10	-15	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	16	11	4	1	+19	37
2	Paris SG	16	11	2	3	+24	35
3	Lyon	16	8	7	1	+14	31
4	Monaco	16	10	0	6	+10	30
5	Lens	17	8	5	4	+3	29
6	Rennes	17	7	6	4	+9	27
7	Nice	17	7	4	6	+3	25
8	Metz	17	6	6	5	+0	24
9	Montpellier	16	5	8	3	-1	23
10	Angers	17	6	5	6	-8	23
11	Reims	17	5	6	6	+1	21
12	Strasbourg	17	6	3	8	-3	21
13	Marseille	16	5	6	5	-3	21
14	St Etienne	17	6	3	8	-4	21
15	Nimes	16	5	3	8	-14	18
16	Bordeaux	16	5	2	9	-7	17
17	Nantes	16	3	5	8	-8	14
18	Brest	16	2	3	11	-15	9
19	Lorient	17	1	6	10	-17	9
20	Dijon	16	2	3	11	-19	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.