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Pro League

Referee: J Lardot

Club Brugge

S U S S S

4–2

Full-time

Royal Excel Mouscron

U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Club Brugge Royal Excel Mouscron

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,5

2,7

Scored

2,8

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+2,2

-0,3

This season — Pro League · 31/33 matches

Win Ø 46%

71%

21%

Points per game

2,3

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

65%

39%

Both score Ø 47%

45%

48%

Average goals

2,8

2,4

Scored

2,2

0,9

Conceded

0,6

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

71% Possession 29%

19 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 5

7 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 3

3 Offside 2

5 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Club Brugge 1. · Royal Excel Mouscron 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	31	22	5	4	+48	71
2	Antwerp	32	19	7	6	+19	64
3	Genk	32	16	10	6	+23	58
4	Waregem	37	18	4	15	-2	58
5	Beerschot VA	37	16	6	15	-3	54
6	Mechelen	31	15	7	9	+7	52
7	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	37	14	10	13	-1	52
8	Gent	31	14	6	11	+18	48
9	Oostende	31	14	6	11	+6	48
10	Kortrijk	37	14	6	17	-5	48
11	Eupen	38	11	15	12	-10	48
12	Anderlecht	31	10	16	5	+14	46
13	Charleroi	38	11	12	15	-5	45
14	Cercle Brugge	37	14	2	21	-7	44
15	Standard	31	11	9	11	+4	42
16	St Truiden	37	11	9	17	-11	42
17	Royal Excel Mouscron	33	7	10	16	-20	31
18	Mouscron	34	7	10	17	-22	31
19	Waasland-Beveren	34	8	7	19	-26	31
20	Beveren	33	7	7	19	-27	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	15	11	1	3	+20	34
2	Genk	16	9	6	1	+21	33
3	Antwerp	16	9	5	2	+10	32
4	Beerschot VA	19	8	5	6	+4	29
5	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	18	9	2	7	+3	29
6	Anderlecht	16	6	9	1	+11	27
7	Oostende	15	8	3	4	+10	27
8	Waregem	18	8	2	8	-6	26
9	Gent	16	7	3	6	+12	24
10	Eupen	19	5	8	6	-6	23
11	Mechelen	16	6	4	6	+4	22
12	Cercle Brugge	19	7	1	11	+0	22
13	Charleroi	19	5	7	7	+0	22
14	St Truiden	18	6	4	8	-1	22
15	Standard	15	5	6	4	+2	21
16	Kortrijk	18	6	2	10	-7	20
17	Mouscron	17	4	5	8	-5	17
18	Royal Excel Mouscron	17	4	5	8	-5	17
19	Waasland-Beveren	17	3	2	12	-19	11
20	Beveren	17	3	2	12	-19	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	16	11	4	1	+28	37
2	Antwerp	16	10	2	4	+9	32
3	Waregem	19	10	2	7	+4	32
4	Mechelen	15	9	3	3	+3	30
5	Kortrijk	19	8	4	7	+2	28
6	Genk	16	7	4	5	+2	25
7	Eupen	19	6	7	6	-4	25
8	Beerschot VA	18	8	1	9	-7	25
9	Gent	15	7	3	5	+6	24
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	19	5	8	6	-4	23
11	Charleroi	19	6	5	8	-5	23
12	Cercle Brugge	18	7	1	10	-7	22
13	Standard	16	6	3	7	+2	21
14	Oostende	16	6	3	7	-4	21
15	Waasland-Beveren	17	5	5	7	-7	20
16	St Truiden	19	5	5	9	-10	20
17	Anderlecht	15	4	7	4	+3	19
18	Beveren	16	4	5	7	-8	17
19	Royal Excel Mouscron	16	3	5	8	-15	14
20	Mouscron	17	3	5	9	-17	14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.