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Ligue 1
Referee: J Hamel
Dijon
T T T T T
2–0
Full-time
Nice
S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dijon Nice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
0,3
1,7
Conceded
2,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-2,3
+1,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 22%
6%
38%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
41%
63%
Both score Ø 49%
41%
56%
Average goals
2,4
2,6
Scored
0,6
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
9 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 9
5 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dijon 20. · Nice 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lille 33 20 10 3 +34 70
2 Paris SG 33 22 3 8 +49 69
3 Monaco 32 20 5 7 +29 65
4 Lyon 32 18 10 4 +32 64
5 Lens 32 14 10 8 +7 52
6 Marseille 33 14 10 9 +5 52
7 Rennes 33 14 9 10 +8 51
8 Montpellier 33 12 11 10 -1 47
9 Nice 32 12 7 13 -1 43
10 Metz 32 11 9 12 -2 42
11 Angers 33 11 8 14 -16 41
12 Reims 32 9 13 10 +0 40
13 St Etienne 33 10 9 14 -12 39
14 Strasbourg 32 10 6 16 -9 36
15 Bordeaux 32 10 6 16 -10 36
16 Brest 32 10 6 16 -11 36
17 Lorient 33 8 8 17 -21 32
18 Nimes 32 8 6 18 -28 30
19 Nantes 32 5 13 14 -17 28
20 Dijon 32 2 9 21 -36 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dijon Nice
Fouad Chafik 🟨
19′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 F. Chafik
49′
51′
🟨 Morgan Schneiderlin
64′
🔁 H. Boudaoui
↦ P. Lees Melou
64′
🔁 Y. Atal
↦ Rony Lopes
64′
🔁 S. N'Soki
↦ H. Kamara
M. Dobre 🔁
↦ R. Assalé
75′
2–0 Y. Benzia
77′
F. Sammaritano 🔁
↦ Y. Benzia
81′
85′
🔁 M. Sellouki
↦ M. Maolida
J. Siwe 🔁
↦ A. Kamara
88′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Dijon

5-3-2
16 S. Allagbé G
25 B. Écuélé Manga D
26 F. Chafik D
13 A. Chalá D
4 J. Panzo D
5 S. Coulibaly D
14 J. Marié M
10 Y. Benzia M
9 B. Celina M
15 R. Assalé F
27 A. Kamara F
Bench (9)
29 M. Dobre
7 F. Sammaritano
32 J. Siwe
6 P. Diop
2 S. Boey
12 A. Zagre
1 A. Racioppi
24 W. Lautoa
8 E. Ebimbe

Coach: D. Linarès

Nice

4-3-3
40 W. Benítez G
13 H. Kamara D
23 J. Lotomba D
25 J. Todibo D
18 W. Saliba D
6 M. Schneiderlin M
8 P. Lees Melou M
22 Rony Lopes F
9 K. Dolberg F
10 A. Claude Maurice M
7 M. Maolida F
Bench (9)
28 H. Boudaoui
20 Y. Atal
2 S. N'Soki
33 M. Sellouki
3 Robson Bambu
14 D. Ndoye
30 Y. Cardinale
5 F. Daniliuc
27 A. Trouillet

Coach: A. Ursea

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,50
U
3,83
B
1,76
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,86
U2,5 ✓
1,95
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Hamel · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.