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Super League
Referee: A Jaccottet
Young Boys
S S S T S
2–2
Full-time
Lugano
S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Young Boys Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,7
1,0
Scored
1,8
0,7
Conceded
0,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,3
This season — Super League · 11/10 matches
Win Ø 52%
64%
40%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
55%
30%
Both score Ø 48%
45%
50%
Average goals
2,1
1,9
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
0,6
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

61% Possession 39%
15 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Young Boys 1. · Lugano 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 11 7 3 1 +9 24
2 Basel 12 6 1 5 +3 19
3 St. Gallen 11 5 4 2 +2 19
4 Zurich 12 5 3 4 +4 18
5 Lugano 10 4 5 1 +3 17
6 Lausanne 12 4 3 5 +0 15
7 Servette 12 4 3 5 -2 15
8 Luzern 12 3 4 5 -1 13
9 Sion 11 1 5 5 -7 8
10 Vaduz 11 1 3 7 -11 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Jul -20 Young Boys – Lugano 3–0 16. Feb -20 Lugano – Young Boys 2–1 15. Dec -19 Lugano – Young Boys 0–0 4. Aug -19 Young Boys – Lugano 2–0

Match report

Young Boys Lugano
1–0 T. Siebatcheu ⚽
M. Sulejmani
19′
22′
🟨 Numa Lavanchy
28′
⚽ S. Lovric 1–1
N. Lavanchy
Miralem Sulejmani ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
35′
36′
🟨 Ákos Kecskés
2–1 T. Siebatcheu ⚽
37′
Half-time 2–1
60′
🔁 C. Lungoyi
↦ R. Macek
60′
🔁 J. Sabbatini
↦ J. Ardaiz
66′
🟨 Mijat Marić
C. Martins 🔁
↦ M. Sulejmani
67′
G. Gaudino 🔁
↦ M. Aebischer
67′
70′
⚽ M. Bottani 2–2
Ulisses Garcia 🟨
73′
74′
🔁 A. Gerndt
↦ M. Bottani
M. Ngamaleu 🔁
↦ C. Fassnacht
76′
M. Elia 🔁
↦ F. Mambimbi
76′
Mohamed Camara 🟨
77′
79′
🟨 Olivier Custodio
80′
🔁 M. Čovilo
↦ S. Lovric
81′
🔁 F. Daprelà
↦ Adrià Guerrero
S. Hefti 🔁
↦ Q. Maceiras
85′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Young Boys

4-4-2
26 D. von Ballmoos G
21 U. Garcia D
5 C. Zesiger D
4 M. Camara D
24 Q. Maceiras D
10 M. Sulejmani M
16 C. Fassnacht M
20 M. Aebischer M
60 F. Rieder M
17 T. Siebatcheu F
19 F. Mambimbi F
Bench (7)
35 C. Martins
11 G. Gaudino
13 M. Ngamaleu
15 M. Elia
36 S. Hefti
91 G. Faivre
25 J. Lefort

Coach: G. Seoane

Lugano

3-1-4-2
46 N. Baumann G
5 M. Marić D
91 M. Facchinetti D
16 N. Lavanchy M
4 Á. Kecskés D
3 Adrià Guerrero M
20 O. Custodio M
77 R. Macek M
24 S. Lovric M
10 M. Bottani F
23 J. Ardaiz F
Bench (7)
8 C. Lungoyi
14 J. Sabbatini
19 A. Gerndt
6 M. Čovilo
30 F. Daprelà
9 J. Odgaard
58 S. Osigwe

Coach: M. Jacobacci

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U ✓
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Jaccottet · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.