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Bundesliga

Referee: W Altmann

SK Rapid

T T T U U

1–1

Full-time

Hartberg

S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

SK Rapid Hartberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 41%

41%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

53%

59%

Both score Ø 62%

65%

59%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,21 xG 0,35

75% Possession 25%

18 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 21

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match SK Rapid 7. · Hartberg 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Salzburg	18	9	5	4	+13	+4.9	32
2	LASK	17	9	2	6	+3	+0.3	29
3	Austria Vienna	18	9	2	7	+1	-0.6	29
4	Sturm Graz	17	9	1	7	+4	+3.5	28
5	Hartberg	17	7	5	5	+4	-1.6	26
6	Ried	17	8	2	7	+0	+0.9	26
7	SK Rapid	17	7	4	6	+0	-1.0	25
8	Wolfsberger AC	17	7	3	7	+4	-2.7	24
9	Altach	17	5	6	6	-1	-1.6	21
10	Tirol	17	5	6	6	-2	+4.5	21
11	Grazer AK	17	3	6	8	-12	-2.8	15
12	BW Linz	17	3	2	12	-14	-3.9	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Salzburg	10	5	2	3	+8	+3.2	17
2	LASK	8	5	1	2	+4	-0.7	16
3	Ried	9	4	2	3	+1	+1.7	14
4	Wolfsberger AC	9	4	1	4	+2	-0.1	13
5	Altach	8	3	4	1	+2	+2.1	13
6	Austria Vienna	9	4	1	4	-3	+0.8	13
7	Tirol	8	3	2	3	+1	+2.3	11
8	Hartberg	8	3	2	3	+1	-0.4	11
9	SK Rapid	8	3	1	4	-1	-0.5	10
10	Grazer AK	9	2	4	3	-2	+0.9	10
11	BW Linz	9	2	1	6	-4	-1.6	7
12	Sturm Graz	8	2	1	5	-6	+1.1	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	9	7	0	2	+10	+2.4	21
2	Austria Vienna	9	5	1	3	+4	-1.4	16
3	Salzburg	8	4	3	1	+5	+1.8	15
4	Hartberg	9	4	3	2	+3	-1.3	15
5	SK Rapid	9	4	3	2	+1	-0.4	15
6	LASK	9	4	1	4	-1	+1.0	13
7	Ried	8	4	0	4	-1	-0.8	12
8	Wolfsberger AC	8	3	2	3	+2	-2.6	11
9	Tirol	9	2	4	3	-3	+2.3	10
10	Altach	9	2	2	5	-3	-3.7	8
11	Grazer AK	8	1	2	5	-10	-3.7	5
12	BW Linz	8	1	1	6	-10	-2.3	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.