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Bundesliga
Referee: A Harkam
LASK
S U S S U
1–5
Full-time
Salzburg
S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

LASK Salzburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 50%
53%
47%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
47%
68%
Both score Ø 55%
42%
68%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,4
1,9
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

2,39 xG 1,58
35% Possession 65%
13 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 12
2 Blocked shots 3
7 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 8
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match LASK 3. · Salzburg 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 20 11 1 8 +5 +3.7 34
2 Salzburg 19 9 6 4 +13 +6.1 33
3 LASK 19 10 3 6 +4 +1.7 33
4 Austria Vienna 20 10 2 8 +2 +0.6 32
5 Hartberg 20 8 7 5 +5 -2.0 31
6 SK Rapid 20 8 5 7 +0 -1.1 29
7 Altach 20 7 7 6 +1 -1.1 28
8 Ried 20 8 4 8 -1 -0.4 28
9 Wolfsberger AC 20 7 4 9 +1 -4.8 25
10 Tirol 20 6 7 7 -2 +4.8 25
11 Grazer AK 20 3 8 9 -13 -3.3 17
12 BW Linz 20 4 2 14 -15 -4.1 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

LASK Salzburg
6′
K. Alajbegovic 0–1
S. Lainer
10′
K. Konate 0–2
F. Kratzig
1–2 S. Kalajdzic
C. Lang
18′
37′
S. Kitano 1–3
K. Alajbegovic
Half-time 1–3
50′
🟨 Stefan Lainer
64′
K. Konate 1–4
F. Kratzig
S. Adeniran 🔁
↦ C. Lang
67′
67′
🔁 M. K. Yeo
↦ S. Kitano
80′
ℹ️ Karim Konaté
VAR: Goal cancelled
M. Entrup 🔁
↦ S. Kalajdzic
80′
F. Flecker 🔁
↦ M. Usor
81′
84′
🔁 K. Onisiwo
↦ K. Konate
84′
🔁 D. Redzic
↦ E. Baidoo
I. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ M. Bogarde
90′
L. Kacavenda 🔁
↦ G. Bello
90′
90′
🔁 A. Terzic
↦ F. Kratzig
90′
🔁 C. Bischoff
↦ K. Alajbegovic
90′
D. Redzic 1–5
K. Onisiwo
Full-time 1–5

Line-ups

LASK

3-4-1-2
1 L. Jungwirth G
3 X. Mbuyamba D
43 Alemao D
16 A. Andrade D
20 K. P. Molgaard Jorgensen M
6 M. Bogarde M
30 S. Horvath M
2 G. Bello M
27 C. Lang F
10 S. Kalajdzic F
8 M. Usor F
Bench (9)
33 T. Schutzenauer
29 F. Flecker
11 M. Entrup
4 I. Coulibaly
7 S. Adeniran
41 E. Michael
48 M. Cisse
44 L. Kacavenda
13 A. Adeshina

Coach: Dietmar Kuhbauer

Salzburg

4-3-3
1 A. Schlager G
22 S. Lainer D
23 J. Gadou D
21 T. Drexler D
13 F. Kratzig D
18 M. Bidstrup M
5 S. Diabate M
8 S. Kitano M
20 E. Baidoo F
19 K. Konate F
27 K. Alajbegovic F
Bench (8)
52 C. Zawieschitzky
3 A. Terzic
14 M. Kjaergaard
9 K. Onisiwo
24 D. Redzic
49 M. K. Yeo
37 T. Trummer
7 C. Bischoff

Coach: Daniel Beichler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Harkam · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.