← Match Finder
Bundesliga
Referee: S Ebner
Sturm Graz
S T S S U
2–0
Full-time
SK Rapid
U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Sturm Graz SK Rapid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 50%
61%
39%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
74%
48%
Both score Ø 61%
65%
57%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
2,3
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
11 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 6
2 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sturm Graz 2. · SK Rapid 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Austria Vienna 23 15 4 4 +19 49
2 Sturm Graz 23 14 5 4 +23 47
3 Salzburg 23 11 8 4 +13 41
4 Wolfsberger AC 23 11 4 8 +14 37
5 SK Rapid 23 9 7 7 +6 34
6 LASK 23 10 4 9 +1 34
7 BW Linz 23 10 3 10 -1 33
8 Hartberg 23 6 8 9 -8 26
9 A. Klagenfurt 23 6 6 11 -21 24
10 Tirol 23 4 8 11 -11 20
11 Grazer AK 23 3 8 12 -18 17
12 Altach 23 3 7 13 -17 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Nov -24 Sturm Graz – SK Rapid 1–1 4. Aug -24 SK Rapid – Sturm Graz 1–0 24. Apr -24 SK Rapid – Sturm Graz 1–3 19. Apr -24 Sturm Graz – SK Rapid 1–0 18. Feb -24 Sturm Graz – SK Rapid 1–1

Match report

Sturm Graz SK Rapid
1–0 W. Bøving ⚽
18′
Max Johnston 🟨
34′
Half-time 1–0
Tomi Horvat 🟨
51′
L. Grgić 🔁
↦ S. Jatta
61′
63′
🟨 Nenad Cvetković
68′
🟨 Dion Drena Beljo
71′
🔁 J. Auer
↦ M. Oswald
71′
🔁 R. Amané
↦ L. Grgić
71′
🔁 J. Schöller
↦ M. Seidl
A. Malić 🔁
↦ M. Johnston
72′
T. Chukwuani 🔁
↦ J. Gorenc Stankovič
72′
S. Hierländer 🔁
↦ M. Yalcouyé
81′
E. Soglo 🔁
↦ D. Lavalée
81′
84′
🟨 Jakob Schöller
89′
🔁 L. Schaub
↦ M. Sangaré
2–0 L. Grgić ⚽
T. Horvat
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
1 K. Scherpen G
2 M. Johnston D
5 G. Wüthrich D
35 N. Geyrhofer D
24 D. Lavalée D
19 T. Horvat M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič M
8 M. Yalcouyé M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
15 W. Bøving F
20 S. Jatta F
Bench (7)
38 L. Grgić
23 A. Malić
21 T. Chukwuani
25 S. Hierländer
18 E. Soglo
32 P. Kiedl
53 D. Khudyakov

Coach: J. Säumel

SK Rapid

4-2-2-2
45 N. Hedl G
77 B. Bolla D
55 N. Cvetković D
6 S. Raux-Yao D
28 M. Oswald D
17 M. Sangaré M
8 L. Grgić M
18 M. Seidl M
22 I. Jansson M
7 D. Beljo F
99 E. Kara F
Bench (7)
23 J. Auer
29 R. Amané
4 J. Schöller
21 L. Schaub
49 A. Radulović
27 N. Bischof
25 P. Gartler

Coach: R. Klauß

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Ebner · 100 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.