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Bundesliga

Referee: M Schüttengruber

Tirol

S T U T T

0–2

Full-time

Sturm Graz

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,8

This season — Bundesliga · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 50%

38%

62%

Points per game

1,3

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

71%

48%

Both score Ø 62%

67%

57%

Average goals

3,2

2,4

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%

5 Shots 21

2 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 9

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 8

0 Offside 4

12 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tirol 7. · Sturm Graz 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	21	17	3	1	+36	54
2	Sturm Graz	21	13	6	2	+20	45
3	LASK	21	10	7	4	+10	37
4	SK Rapid	21	10	3	8	+10	33
5	Austria Vienna	21	9	5	7	+4	32
6	A. Klagenfurt	21	9	3	9	-3	30
7	Tirol	21	8	4	9	-3	28
8	A. Lustenau	21	6	6	9	-10	24
9	Wolfsberger AC	21	6	2	13	-6	20
10	Ried	21	4	5	12	-16	17
11	Hartberg	21	5	2	14	-20	17
12	Altach	21	4	4	13	-22	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	11	8	1	2	+11	25
2	Salzburg	10	7	3	0	+15	24
3	LASK	11	5	3	3	+2	18
4	Austria Vienna	10	5	2	3	+4	17
5	SK Rapid	11	5	1	5	+4	16
6	A. Lustenau	10	4	3	3	-2	15
7	A. Klagenfurt	11	4	1	6	-4	13
8	Tirol	10	3	3	4	-6	12
9	Hartberg	10	3	1	6	-8	10
10	Altach	11	2	3	6	-6	9
11	Ried	10	2	3	5	-6	9
12	Wolfsberger AC	11	1	1	9	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	11	10	0	1	+21	30
2	Sturm Graz	10	5	5	0	+9	20
3	LASK	10	5	4	1	+8	19
4	SK Rapid	10	5	2	3	+6	17
5	A. Klagenfurt	10	5	2	3	+1	17
6	Wolfsberger AC	10	5	1	4	+4	16
7	Tirol	11	5	1	5	+3	16
8	Austria Vienna	11	4	3	4	+0	15
9	A. Lustenau	11	2	3	6	-8	9
10	Ried	11	2	2	7	-10	8
11	Hartberg	11	2	1	8	-12	7
12	Altach	10	2	1	7	-16	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.