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Bundesliga
Referee: W Altmann
Sturm Graz
S S T U U
1–0
Full-time
SK Rapid
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz SK Rapid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,7
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 50%
56%
44%
Points per game
2,1
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
44%
50%
Both score Ø 56%
56%
56%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
0,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
10 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sturm Graz 2. · SK Rapid 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 16 12 3 1 +24 39
2 Sturm Graz 16 9 6 1 +15 33
3 LASK 16 7 6 3 +9 27
4 SK Rapid 16 7 3 6 +7 24
5 Tirol 16 7 3 6 +1 24
6 Austria Vienna 16 6 5 5 +0 23
7 A. Klagenfurt 16 6 3 7 -3 21
8 A. Lustenau 16 4 6 6 -5 18
9 Wolfsberger AC 16 5 2 9 -5 17
10 Altach 16 4 3 9 -14 15
11 Ried 16 3 4 9 -12 13
12 Hartberg 16 3 2 11 -17 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. Aug -22 SK Rapid – Sturm Graz 1–2 24. Apr -22 SK Rapid – Sturm Graz 1–1 17. Apr -22 Sturm Graz – SK Rapid 2–1 20. Feb -22 Sturm Graz – SK Rapid 2–2 26. Sep -21 SK Rapid – Sturm Graz 0–3

Match report

Sturm Graz SK Rapid
Tomi Horvat ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
31′
Alexandar Borković 🟨
37′
39′
🟨 Aleksa Pejić
D. Affengruber 🔁
↦ G. Wüthrich
42′
Half-time 0–0
52′
🟨 Marco Grüll
Bryan Teixeira 🔁
↦ T. Horvat
69′
D. Schnegg 🔁
↦ A. Danté
69′
72′
🔁 O. Strunz
↦ P. Greil
M. Sarkaria 🔁
↦ E. Emegha
83′
I. Ljubic 🔁
↦ O. Kiteishvili
83′
87′
🔁 B. Zimmermann
↦ A. Bajić
90′
🟨 Martin Moormann
1–0 D. Affengruber ⚽
M. Sarkaria
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
1 A. Okonkwo G
22 J. Gazibegović D
5 G. Wüthrich D
6 A. Borković D
44 A. Danté D
19 T. Horvat M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič M
8 A. Prass M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
20 E. Emegha F
9 A. Ajeti F
Bench (7)
42 D. Affengruber
17 Bryan Teixeira
28 D. Schnegg
11 M. Sarkaria
30 I. Ljubic
27 J. Siebenhandl
25 S. Hierländer

Coach: C. Ilzer

SK Rapid

4-2-3-1
45 N. Hedl G
2 D. Kasius D
43 L. Querfeld D
19 M. Sollbauer D
26 M. Moormann D
14 A. Pejić M
5 R. Kerschbaum M
29 A. Bajić M
24 P. Greil M
27 M. Grüll M
9 G. Burgstaller F
Bench (7)
18 O. Strunz
41 B. Zimmermann
6 K. Wimmer
25 P. Gartler
8 C. Knasmüllner
28 M. Oswald
16 D. Petrovič

Coach: Z. Barišić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

W Altmann · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.