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Europa League
Referee: M Jug
Midtjylland
S S U T T
2–0
Full-time
Sturm Graz
U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,7
This season — Europa League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
20%
40%
Points per game
1,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
80%
40%
Both score Ø 50%
80%
20%
Average goals
3,6
2,4
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
7 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Midtjylland Sturm Graz
1–0 A. Dreyer
G. Isaksen
15′
Evander 🟨
28′
30′
🟨 Otar Kiteishvili
33′
🟨 Amadou Dante
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 E. Emegha
↦ W. Bøving
46′
🔁 D. Schnegg
↦ A. Danté
55′
🟨 David Schnegg
O. Sørensen 🔁
↦ Evander
66′
V. Andreasen 🔁
↦ E. Chilufya
66′
N. Dyhr 🔁
↦ Paulinho
67′
2–0 A. Dreyer
G. Isaksen
72′
74′
🔁 J. Jantscher
↦ A. Ajeti
80′
🔁 A. Borković
↦ D. Affengruber
80′
🔁 M. Sarkaria
↦ O. Kiteishvili
Erik Sviatchenko 🟨
88′
88′
🟨 Emanuel Emegha
Juninho 🔁
↦ E. Sviatchenko
89′
G. Christensen 🔁
↦ A. Dreyer
91′
Kristoffer Olsson 🟨
94′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Midtjylland

4-3-3
1 J. Lössl G
6 J. Andersson D
4 S. Gartenmann D
28 E. Sviatchenko D
29 Paulinho D
8 K. Olsson M
5 E. Martínez M
10 Evander M
11 G. Isaksen F
36 A. Dreyer F
18 E. Chilufya F
Bench (12)
24 O. Sørensen
20 V. Andreasen
44 N. Dyhr
73 Juninho
15 G. Christensen
9 S. Kaba
16 E. Ólafsson
30 M. Ugboh
17 M. Thychosen
7 P. Sisto
35 Charles
26 P. Ortíz

Coach: Albert Capellas

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
27 J. Siebenhandl G
22 J. Gazibegović D
42 D. Affengruber D
5 G. Wüthrich D
44 A. Danté D
19 T. Horvat M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič M
8 A. Prass M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
15 W. Bøving F
9 A. Ajeti F
Bench (12)
20 E. Emegha
28 D. Schnegg
13 J. Jantscher
6 A. Borković
11 M. Sarkaria
18 D. Oroz
32 T. Schützenauer
29 M. Fuseini
25 S. Hierländer
17 V. Demaku
24 S. Ingolitsch
41 C. Giuliani

Coach: C. Ilzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Jug · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.