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Bundesliga

Referee: Deniz Aytekin

RB Leipzig

S T U U T

3–1

Full-time

Schalke 04

U U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig Schalke 04

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,5

4,2

Scored

1,5

2,3

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 47%

47%

Points per game

1,6

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

59%

41%

Both score Ø 56%

59%

53%

Average goals

3,1

2,9

Scored

1,6

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%

16 Shots 10

9 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 4

2 Offside 3

20 Free kicks against 21

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match RB Leipzig 5. · Schalke 04 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	18	14	2	2	+28	44
2	Schalke 04	17	8	6	3	+7	30
3	Dortmund	17	8	4	5	+15	28
4	Leverkusen	18	7	7	4	+9	28
5	RB Leipzig	17	8	4	5	+2	28
6	M'gladbach	17	8	4	5	-1	28
7	Augsburg	18	7	6	5	+5	27
8	Hoffenheim	18	7	6	5	+5	27
9	Ein Frankfurt	18	7	6	5	+2	27
10	Hannover	18	7	5	6	-1	26
11	Hertha	18	6	6	6	+0	24
12	Stuttgart	18	6	2	10	-7	20
13	Freiburg	18	4	8	6	-14	20
14	Wolfsburg	17	3	10	4	+0	19
15	Mainz	18	4	5	9	-10	17
16	Werder Bremen	18	3	7	8	-7	16
17	Hamburg	18	4	3	11	-11	15
18	FC Koln	17	1	3	13	-22	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	8	7	1	0	+19	22
2	Stuttgart	9	6	1	2	+5	19
3	Hoffenheim	9	5	3	1	+8	18
4	Hannover	9	5	3	1	+7	18
5	Schalke 04	9	5	3	1	+6	18
6	RB Leipzig	8	5	2	1	+7	17
7	M'gladbach	9	5	2	2	+2	17
8	Leverkusen	9	4	4	1	+7	16
9	Augsburg	10	4	4	2	+4	16
10	Freiburg	9	3	5	1	+2	14
11	Hertha	9	4	2	3	+1	14
12	Dortmund	8	4	1	3	+9	13
13	Mainz	9	4	1	4	-1	13
14	Wolfsburg	9	2	6	1	+2	12
15	Hamburg	9	3	2	4	-1	11
16	Ein Frankfurt	9	2	3	4	-2	9
17	Werder Bremen	9	2	3	4	-3	9
18	FC Koln	8	1	1	6	-9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	10	7	1	2	+9	22
2	Ein Frankfurt	9	5	3	1	+4	18
3	Dortmund	9	4	3	2	+6	15
4	Leverkusen	9	3	3	3	+2	12
5	Schalke 04	8	3	3	2	+1	12
6	Augsburg	8	3	2	3	+1	11
7	M'gladbach	8	3	2	3	-3	11
8	RB Leipzig	9	3	2	4	-5	11
9	Hertha	9	2	4	3	-1	10
10	Hoffenheim	9	2	3	4	-3	9
11	Hannover	9	2	2	5	-8	8
12	Wolfsburg	8	1	4	3	-2	7
13	Werder Bremen	9	1	4	4	-4	7
14	Freiburg	9	1	3	5	-16	6
15	Mainz	9	0	4	5	-9	4
16	Hamburg	9	1	1	7	-10	4
17	FC Koln	9	0	2	7	-13	2
18	Stuttgart	9	0	1	8	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.