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Bundesliga

Referee: M Schmidt

Union Berlin

U U

0–4

Full-time

RB Leipzig

S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Union Berlin RB Leipzig

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

36% Possession 64%

13 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 8

5 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 6

3 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 5

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Bayern Munich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Hertha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Schalke 04	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Paderborn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	FC Koln	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Bayern Munich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Hertha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
3	Schalke 04	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Paderborn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
5	FC Koln	1	0	0	1	-1	0
6	Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-3	0
8	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.