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Bundesliga
Referee: A Kijas
LASK
T S T U T
0–0
Full-time
Sturm Graz
T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

LASK Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
This season — Bundesliga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 50%
52%
48%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
59%
56%
Both score Ø 50%
48%
52%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
16 Shots 2
4 Shots on target 0
5 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 3
3 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 18
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match LASK 3. · Sturm Graz 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 27 21 1 5 +50 64
2 SK Rapid 27 15 8 4 +26 53
3 LASK 27 14 4 9 +16 46
4 Sturm Graz 27 13 7 7 +14 46
5 Hartberg 28 10 10 8 -11 40
6 Wolfsberger AC 27 12 3 12 -5 39
7 Austria Vienna 28 9 9 10 +3 36
8 Tirol 27 10 6 11 -1 36
9 Ried 28 7 7 14 -21 28
10 Altach 28 7 5 16 -26 26
11 St. Polten 28 5 8 15 -14 23
12 Admira 28 5 6 17 -31 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

LASK Sturm Graz
Half-time 0–0
P. Michorl 🔁
↦ J. Holland
59′
P. Filipović 🔁
↦ M. Potzmann
59′
T. Goiginger 🔁
↦ H. Balić
59′
62′
🔁 N. Geyrhofer
↦ I. Ljubic
65′
🟨 Niklas Geyrhofer
75′
🔁 F. Mwepu
↦ A. Kuen
77′
🟨 Jakob Jantscher
78′
🟨 Amadou Dante
T. Sabitzer 🔁
↦ J. Eggestein
81′
M. Altunbaş 🔁
↦ D. Reiter
86′
88′
🟨 Jon Gorenc Stanković
90′
🔁 B. Balaj
↦ K. Yeboah
90′
🔁 L. Jäger
↦ J. Gazibegović
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

LASK

3-4-3
1 A. Schlager G
18 G. Trauner D
16 M. Potzmann M
26 R. Ranftl M
6 P. Wiesinger D
30 A. Andrade D
25 J. Holland M
31 L. Grgic M
11 D. Reiter F
14 H. Balić F
13 J. Eggestein F
Bench (7)
10 P. Michorl
5 P. Filipović
27 T. Goiginger
33 T. Sabitzer
42 M. Altunbaş
36 T. Gebauer
21 M. Madsen

Coach: D. Thalhammer

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
27 J. Siebenhandl G
4 J. Stankovič D
11 J. Gazibegović D
6 D. Nemeth D
44 A. Dante D
13 J. Jantscher F
25 S. Hierländer M
19 A. Kuen M
30 I. Ljubic M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
23 K. Yeboah F
Bench (7)
35 N. Geyrhofer
29 F. Mwepu
9 B. Balaj
17 L. Jäger
18 P. Huspek
32 T. Schützenauer
33 D. Shabanhaxhaj

Coach: C. Ilzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Kijas · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.