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Bundesliga

Referee: D Muckenhammer

SK Rapid

T U S T S

4–1

Full-time

Sturm Graz

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

SK Rapid Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,3

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

1,5

2,3

Conceded

1,7

0,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+2,2

This season — Bundesliga · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 58%

58%

Points per game

2,0

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

67%

42%

Both score Ø 50%

75%

25%

Average goals

3,6

2,3

Scored

2,2

1,8

Conceded

1,4

0,4

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

57% Possession 43%

20 Shots 9

9 Shots on target 8

5 Blocked shots 0

7 Goalkeeper saves 5

10 Corners 2

3 Offside 3

17 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match SK Rapid 4. · Sturm Graz 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	12	8	1	3	+24	25
2	Sturm Graz	12	7	4	1	+17	25
3	LASK	12	7	3	2	+14	24
4	SK Rapid	12	7	3	2	+9	24
5	Tirol	12	5	2	5	+1	17
6	Wolfsberger AC	12	5	2	5	-2	17
7	St. Polten	12	4	3	5	+0	15
8	Hartberg	12	3	5	4	-9	14
9	Ried	12	4	1	7	-11	13
10	Austria Vienna	12	2	5	5	-6	11
11	Altach	12	2	2	8	-16	8
12	Admira	12	2	1	9	-21	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	6	6	0	0	+17	18
2	Sturm Graz	6	4	1	1	+9	13
3	Salzburg	6	4	0	2	+13	12
4	SK Rapid	6	3	2	1	+5	11
5	Ried	6	3	0	3	-3	9
6	Tirol	6	2	2	2	+2	8
7	Hartberg	6	2	2	2	-2	8
8	Austria Vienna	6	1	3	2	-5	6
9	Admira	6	2	0	4	-6	6
10	Wolfsberger AC	6	1	2	3	-4	5
11	St. Polten	6	1	2	3	-4	5
12	Altach	6	1	2	3	-6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	6	4	1	1	+11	13
2	SK Rapid	6	4	1	1	+4	13
3	Sturm Graz	6	3	3	0	+8	12
4	Wolfsberger AC	6	4	0	2	+2	12
5	St. Polten	6	3	1	2	+4	10
6	Tirol	6	3	0	3	-1	9
7	LASK	6	1	3	2	-3	6
8	Hartberg	6	1	3	2	-7	6
9	Austria Vienna	6	1	2	3	-1	5
10	Ried	6	1	1	4	-8	4
11	Altach	6	1	0	5	-10	3
12	Admira	6	0	1	5	-15	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.