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Bundesliga
Referee: M Hameter
Salzburg
S T S U S
2–0
Full-time
SK Rapid
U U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg SK Rapid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 66%
76%
55%
Points per game
2,3
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
76%
62%
Both score Ø 66%
69%
62%
Average goals
3,9
3,2
Scored
2,9
2,1
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%
12 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Salzburg 1. · SK Rapid 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 29 22 2 5 +52 68
2 SK Rapid 29 16 8 5 +26 56
3 LASK 30 15 6 9 +20 51
4 Sturm Graz 30 14 8 8 +13 50
5 Wolfsberger AC 30 13 4 13 -8 43
6 Hartberg 30 10 11 9 -13 41
7 Austria Vienna 30 10 9 11 +4 39
8 Tirol 30 10 7 13 -3 37
9 Ried 30 7 9 14 -21 30
10 Altach 30 8 6 16 -25 30
11 Admira 30 6 7 17 -29 25
12 St. Polten 30 5 9 16 -16 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Salzburg SK Rapid
30′
🟨 Srđan Grahovac
1–0 P. Daka
M. Berisha
33′
Half-time 1–0
50′
🟨 Leo Greiml
2–0 P. Daka
56′
65′
🔁 F. Stojković
↦ T. Schick
65′
🔁 E. Kara
↦ T. Fountas
K. Adeyemi 🔁
↦ M. Berisha
66′
70′
🔁 C. Knasmüllner
↦ K. Kitagawa
70′
🔁 M. Sonnleitner
↦ L. Greiml
N. Seiwald 🔁
↦ E. Mwepu
77′
Bernardo 🔁
↦ A. Bernède
77′
79′
🟨 Maximilian Hofmann
79′
🔁 L. Sulzbacher
↦ M. Ullmann
86′
🟨 Maximilian Hofmann
86′
🟥 Maximilian Hofmann
N. Okafor 🔁
↦ B. Aaronson
91′
P. Farkas 🔁
↦ R. Kristensen
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Salzburg

4-2-2-2
1 C. Stanković G
17 A. Ulmer D
15 André Ramalho D
39 M. Wöber D
43 R. Kristensen D
16 Z. Junuzović M
28 A. Bernède M
45 E. Mwepu M
11 B. Aaronson M
8 M. Berisha F
20 P. Daka F
Bench (7)
27 K. Adeyemi
13 N. Seiwald
95 Bernardo
77 N. Okafor
25 P. Farkas
23 N. Mantl
22 O. Solet

Coach: J. Marsch

SK Rapid

3-4-3
1 R. Strebinger G
20 M. Hofmann D
31 M. Ullmann M
30 L. Greiml D
13 T. Schick M
14 S. Grahovac M
39 D. Ljubičić D
42 L. Schuster M
9 T. Fountas F
32 K. Kitagawa F
48 Y. Demir F
Bench (7)
22 F. Stojković
29 E. Kara
28 C. Knasmüllner
6 M. Sonnleitner
37 L. Sulzbacher
25 P. Gartler
8 M. Ritzmaier

Coach: D. Kühbauer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Hameter · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.