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Bundesliga

Referee: S Gishamer

SK Rapid

S U S U T

4–0

Full-time

Sturm Graz

T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

SK Rapid Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 44%

48%

39%

Points per game

1,7

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

65%

52%

Both score Ø 55%

57%

52%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,3

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

47% Possession 53%

15 Shots 12

10 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 4

1 Offside 3

25 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match SK Rapid 4. · Sturm Graz 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	24	17	4	3	+29	55
2	Salzburg	24	16	6	2	+56	54
3	Wolfsberger AC	24	12	6	6	+24	42
4	SK Rapid	23	11	7	5	+19	40
5	Sturm Graz	23	9	5	9	+8	32
6	Hartberg	24	9	5	10	-19	32
7	Austria Vienna	24	6	11	7	-2	29
8	Altach	24	7	5	12	-10	26
9	Mattersburg	24	6	4	14	-24	22
10	St. Polten	24	4	9	11	-28	21
11	Tirol	24	5	5	14	-29	20
12	Admira	24	4	7	13	-24	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	12	10	1	1	+33	31
2	LASK	12	6	3	3	+11	21
3	Wolfsberger AC	12	5	4	3	+12	19
4	Austria Vienna	12	5	4	3	+4	19
5	Hartberg	12	5	3	4	-4	18
6	SK Rapid	11	4	4	3	+6	16
7	Altach	12	4	3	5	-1	15
8	Sturm Graz	12	4	2	6	+0	14
9	Admira	12	2	3	7	-10	9
10	St. Polten	12	1	5	6	-18	8
11	Tirol	12	2	2	8	-20	8
12	Mattersburg	12	1	3	8	-15	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	12	11	1	0	+18	34
2	SK Rapid	12	7	3	2	+13	24
3	Salzburg	12	6	5	1	+23	23
4	Wolfsberger AC	12	7	2	3	+12	23
5	Sturm Graz	11	5	3	3	+8	18
6	Mattersburg	12	5	1	6	-9	16
7	Hartberg	12	4	2	6	-15	14
8	St. Polten	12	3	4	5	-10	13
9	Tirol	12	3	3	6	-9	12
10	Altach	12	3	2	7	-9	11
11	Austria Vienna	12	1	7	4	-6	10
12	Admira	12	2	4	6	-14	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.