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Bundesliga
Referee: J Weinberger
Sturm Graz
S S S U T
2–1
Full-time
Hartberg
S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Hartberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,0
This season — Bundesliga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 39%
54%
23%
Points per game
1,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
46%
38%
Both score Ø 50%
31%
69%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,1
Conceded
0,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,1
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

53% Possession 47%
20 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sturm Graz 3. · Hartberg 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 13 9 1 3 +26 28
2 SK Rapid 13 8 3 2 +12 27
3 Sturm Graz 13 7 4 2 +14 25
4 LASK 13 7 3 3 +12 24
5 Tirol 13 6 2 5 +3 20
6 Wolfsberger AC 13 5 3 5 -2 18
7 St. Polten 13 4 4 5 +0 16
8 Hartberg 13 3 6 4 -9 15
9 Austria Vienna 13 3 5 5 -5 14
10 Ried 13 4 1 8 -12 13
11 Altach 13 2 2 9 -18 8
12 Admira 13 2 2 9 -21 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Sep -20 Hartberg – Sturm Graz 1–1 5. Jul -20 Sturm Graz – Hartberg 1–4 14. Jun -20 Hartberg – Sturm Graz 1–2 9. Nov -19 Sturm Graz – Hartberg 3–1 11. Aug -19 Hartberg – Sturm Graz 1–0

Match report

Sturm Graz Hartberg
1–0 O. Kiteishvili ⚽
I. Ljubic
22′
2–0 J. Jantscher ⚽
K. Friesenbichler
25′
Gregory Wüthrich 🟨
29′
45′
🟨 Sascha Horvath
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 S. Chabbi
↦ M. Schmerböck
46′
🔁 A. Lienhart
↦ S. Tijani
53′
🟨 Rajko Rep
53′
🟨 Christian Klem
58′
⚽ T. Kainz 2–1
B. Nimaga
A. Kuen 🔁
↦ K. Friesenbichler
67′
71′
🔁 L. Ried
↦ J. Ertlthaler
Jon Gorenc Stanković 🟨
72′
79′
🔁 D. Tadić
↦ S. Horvath
D. Shabanhaxhaj 🔁
↦ O. Kiteishvili
85′
F. Mwepu 🔁
↦ J. Jantscher
92′
L. Jäger 🔁
↦ I. Ljubic
93′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
27 J. Siebenhandl G
4 J. Stankovič M
5 G. Wüthrich D
24 S. Ingolitsch D
6 D. Nemeth D
44 A. Dante D
13 J. Jantscher F
25 S. Hierländer M
30 I. Ljubic M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
20 K. Friesenbichler F
Bench (7)
19 A. Kuen
33 D. Shabanhaxhaj
17 L. Jäger
29 F. Mwepu
32 T. Schützenauer
11 J. Gazibegović
18 P. Huspek

Coach: C. Ilzer

Hartberg

4-4-2
1 R. Swete G
14 C. Klem D
5 M. Gollner D
23 T. Kainz D
32 F. Luckeneder D
29 S. Horvath M
42 B. Nimaga M
7 J. Ertlthaler M
8 S. Tijani M
9 R. Rep F
20 M. Schmerböck F
Bench (7)
45 S. Chabbi
6 A. Lienhart
27 L. Ried
24 D. Tadić
39 S. Gölles
31 T. Rotter
35 R. Sallinger

Coach: M. Schopp

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Weinberger · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.