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Bundesliga

Referee: J Weinberger

Admira

T U T T U

3–1

Full-time

Ried

S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Admira Ried

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

3,3

4,0

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

2,5

2,3

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-0,7

This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

4,7

4,0

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

3,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

-2,7

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

45% Possession 55%

9 Shots 5

4 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 1

1 Offside 5

18 Free kicks against 23

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Admira 12. · Ried 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	SK Rapid	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	LASK	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	St. Polten	3	1	1	1	+4	4
5	Tirol	3	1	1	1	+1	4
6	Austria Vienna	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Sturm Graz	3	0	3	0	+0	3
8	Ried	3	1	0	2	-2	3
9	Wolfsberger AC	3	1	0	2	-2	3
10	Hartberg	3	0	2	1	-2	2
11	Altach	3	0	1	2	-5	1
12	Admira	3	0	1	2	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Austria Vienna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	SK Rapid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Salzburg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Ried	2	1	0	1	-1	3
6	Tirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Sturm Graz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	St. Polten	2	0	1	1	-1	1
9	Altach	2	0	1	1	-2	1
10	Hartberg	2	0	1	1	-2	1
11	Wolfsberger AC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Admira	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	SK Rapid	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	St. Polten	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Tirol	2	1	0	1	+1	3
5	Wolfsberger AC	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Sturm Graz	2	0	2	0	+0	2
7	LASK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Hartberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Admira	2	0	1	1	-3	1
10	Ried	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Austria Vienna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Altach	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.