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Premiership
Referee: D Nicolson
Dundee United
U T U U T
0–0
Full-time
Motherwell
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee United Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
1,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 15/16 matches
Win Ø 29%
20%
38%
Points per game
1,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
47%
44%
Both score Ø 58%
60%
56%
Average goals
3,1
2,5
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,7
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,52 xG 0,99
31% Possession 69%
9 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee United 8. · Motherwell 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Hearts 16 10 5 1 +19 +5.1 35
2 Celtic 15 10 2 3 +14 +4.0 32
3 Motherwell 16 6 8 2 +10 +6.7 26
4 Rangers 15 6 8 1 +9 +0.2 26
5 Hibernian 16 6 6 4 +9 +1.7 24
6 Aberdeen 15 6 3 6 +0 -2.7 21
7 Falkirk 16 5 6 5 -5 -0.4 21
8 Dundee United 15 3 7 5 -4 -3.4 16
9 St Mirren 15 3 5 7 -8 +0.3 14
10 Dundee 17 3 4 10 -16 -7.1 13
11 Kilmarnock 16 2 6 8 -14 -4.4 12
12 Livingston 16 1 6 9 -14 -0.0 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dundee United Motherwell
18′
🔁 L. Gordon
↦ S. Welsh
34′
🟨 Tawanda Maswanhise
Half-time 0–0
Luca Stephenson 🟨
46′
N. Moller 🔁
↦ M. Watters
65′
Will Ferry 🟨
67′
I. Dolcek 🔁
↦ Z. Sapsford
72′
72′
🔁 A. Stamatelopoulos
↦ C. Hendry
72′
🔁 E. Longelo
↦ J. Koutroumbis
72′
🔁 I. Said
↦ T. Maswanhise
75′
🟨 Callum Slattery
V. Sevelj 🔁
↦ C. Sibbald
83′
85′
🟨 Elliot Watt
87′
🔁 R. Charles-Cook
↦ C. Slattery
Vicko Ševelj 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Dundee United

3-4-3
25 D. Richards G
4 I. Iovu D
3 B. Esselink D
6 R. Graham D
2 R. Strain M
21 L. Stephenson M
14 C. Sibbald M
11 W. Ferry M
9 Z. Sapsford F
36 M. Watters F
17 A. Fatah F
Bench (9)
31 R. Adams
5 V. Sevelj
7 K. Trapanovski
10 J. Eskesen
19 I. Dolcek
34 O. Stirton
37 S. Cleall-Harding
44 C. Beattie
77 N. Moller

Coach: Jim Goodwin

Motherwell

4-2-3-1
13 C. Ward G
2 S. O'Donnell D
16 P. McGinn D
57 S. Welsh D
22 J. Koutroumbis D
20 E. Watt M
12 L. Fadinger M
18 T. Maswanhise M
21 E. Just M
8 C. Slattery M
66 C. Hendry F
Bench (9)
31 Matty Connelly
4 L. Gordon
7 T. Sparrow
9 A. Stamatelopoulos
25 O. Priestman
28 L. Ross
45 E. Longelo
77 R. Charles-Cook
90 I. Said

Coach: Jens Askou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,86
U ✓
3,31
B
2,36
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,86
U2,5 ✓
1,85
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Nicolson · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.