La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Mallorca
Elche
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | +27 | +15.2 | 40 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | +17 | +20.6 | 36 |
| 3 |
Villarreal
|
15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | +18 | +8.8 | 35 |
| 4 |
Ath Madrid
|
17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | +14 | +8.7 | 34 |
| 5 |
Espanol
|
15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | +3 | +6.3 | 27 |
| 6 |
Betis
|
15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | +6 | +6.0 | 24 |
| 7 |
Ath Bilbao
|
16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | -5 | +4.7 | 23 |
| 8 |
Getafe
|
15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -4 | -3.9 | 20 |
| 9 |
Elche
|
15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | +1 | -4.1 | 19 |
| 10 |
Celta
|
15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | -1 | -2.7 | 19 |
| 11 |
Alaves
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -2 | +1.3 | 18 |
| 12 |
Vallecano
|
15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -3 | +1.1 | 17 |
| 13 |
Sevilla
|
15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | -4 | -11.2 | 17 |
| 14 |
Sociedad
|
16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -4 | -0.0 | 16 |
| 15 |
Osasuna
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -4 | -3.1 | 15 |
| 16 |
Valencia
|
16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -10 | -4.8 | 15 |
| 17 |
Girona
|
16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -15 | -11.8 | 15 |
| 18 |
Mallorca
|
15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -7 | -11.3 | 14 |
| 19 |
Oviedo
|
15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -15 | -13.9 | 10 |
| 20 |
Levante
|
15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -12 | -6.0 | 9 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Oviedo
Mallorca
Numancia
Mallorca
Mallorca
Osasuna
Villarreal
Mallorca
Mallorca
Getafe
José Luis Munuera Montero · 88 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.