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Eredivisie
Referee: Richard Martens
Telstar
U U U T U
2–2
Full-time
Nijmegen
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Telstar Nijmegen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,8
Scored
1,7
2,5
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 33%
13%
53%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
47%
80%
Both score Ø 67%
60%
73%
Average goals
2,8
4,3
Scored
1,1
2,6
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,82 xG 2,34
33% Possession 67%
10 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 8
5 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 7
4 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Telstar 18. · Nijmegen 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 15 13 1 1 +29 +13.8 40
2 Feyenoord 15 11 1 3 +23 +21.4 34
3 Nijmegen 15 8 3 4 +14 +5.1 27
4 AZ Alkmaar 15 7 4 4 +4 +9.3 25
5 Ajax 14 6 5 3 +6 +1.1 23
6 Groningen 14 7 2 5 +2 +7.0 23
7 Utrecht 14 6 3 5 +6 -2.3 21
8 Twente 15 5 6 4 +3 +11.5 21
9 Sparta Rotterdam 15 6 2 7 -11 -5.7 20
10 Go Ahead Eagles 15 4 6 5 -1 -7.2 18
11 For Sittard 15 5 3 7 -4 -3.9 18
12 Heerenveen 14 4 4 6 -3 +10.5 16
13 Excelsior 15 5 1 9 -12 -11.1 16
14 Zwolle 15 4 4 7 -17 -14.8 16
15 Volendam 15 3 5 7 -8 -10.3 14
16 Heracles 15 4 2 9 -14 -10.2 14
17 NAC Breda 15 3 3 9 -9 -6.5 12
18 Telstar 15 2 5 8 -8 -7.8 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Telstar Nijmegen
4′
🟨 Tjaronn Chery
1–0 J. Hardeveld
T. Noslin
21′
26′
🟨 Başar Önal
42′
B. Linssen 1–1
B. Onal
Half-time 1–1
59′
🔁 K. Shiogai
↦ K. Ogawa
60′
🔁 V. Misidjan
↦ B. Onal
2–1 J. Hardeveld
N. Rossen
61′
Jochem Ritmeester van de Kamp ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
64′
69′
🔁 B. Pereira
↦ S. Ouaissa
69′
🔁 J. Willems
↦ P. Sandler
69′
🔁 V. van Crooij
↦ T. Chery
77′
K. Shiogai 2–2
K. Sano
M. Zonneveld 🔁
↦ S. Hetli
78′
K. Tejan 🔁
↦ P. Brouwer
78′
M. Hamdaoui 🔁
↦ T. Noslin
86′
A. Lechkar 🔁
↦ J. Ritmeester van de Kamp
86′
101′
ℹ️ Brayann Pereira
VAR: Goal cancelled
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Telstar

3-4-2-1
1 R. Koeman G
14 N. Ogidi Nwankwo D
4 G. Offerhaus D
6 D. Bakker D
11 T. Noslin M
17 N. Rossen M
8 T. Owusu M
2 J. Hardeveld M
39 J. Ritmeester van de Kamp F
27 P. Brouwer F
7 S. Hetli F
Bench (10)
13 T. Bodak
20 D. Reiziger
5 N. Nwankwo
9 M. Zonneveld
10 M. Hamdaoui
15 A. Lechkar
16 D. Mertens
28 R. Oudsten
29 D. Malone
30 K. Tejan

Coach: Anthony Correia

Nijmegen

3-4-2-1
1 G. Crettaz G
14 E. Dasa D
3 P. Sandler D
24 D. Fonville D
25 S. Ouaissa M
6 D. Nejasmic M
23 K. Sano M
11 B. Onal M
10 T. Chery F
30 B. Linssen F
18 K. Ogawa F
Bench (10)
31 R. Janse
38 M. Overmars
2 B. Pereira
7 V. Misidjan
9 K. Shiogai
15 J. Willems
21 R. Gonzalez
32 V. van Crooij
35 S. de Laat
71 D. Proper

Coach: Dick Schreuder

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,52
U ✓
3,89
B
1,89
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,43
U2,5
2,63
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Richard Martens · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.