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Pro League

Referee: Kevin van Damme

Cercle Brugge

S T T T T

2–3

Full-time

Mechelen

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cercle Brugge Mechelen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,8

1,7

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 13/12 matches

Win Ø 33%

15%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

54%

25%

Both score Ø 56%

62%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

2,02 xG 1,60

51% Possession 49%

17 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 9

2 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cercle Brugge 15. · Mechelen 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	10	8	2	0	+19	+15.3	26
2	Club Brugge	11	8	1	2	+7	+3.4	25
3	Mechelen	12	6	4	2	+6	-2.9	22
4	St Truiden	10	6	2	2	+4	+8.8	20
5	Gent	9	6	1	2	+5	+2.4	19
6	Anderlecht	11	5	3	3	+3	+4.6	18
7	Waregem	13	5	3	5	+0	-7.5	18
8	Westerlo	12	3	5	4	+0	+5.3	14
9	RAAL La Louviere	13	3	4	6	-5	-8.8	13
10	Genk	9	3	3	3	+0	+1.9	12
11	Antwerp	11	3	3	5	-2	-4.7	12
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	3	3	5	-4	-2.5	12
13	Standard	12	3	3	6	-9	-5.2	12
14	Charleroi	12	3	2	7	-5	-1.4	11
15	Cercle Brugge	13	2	4	7	-5	+1.7	10
16	Dender	13	1	3	9	-14	-10.2	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	5	5	0	0	+14	+8.6	15
2	Club Brugge	6	4	1	1	+4	+1.4	13
3	Gent	4	4	0	0	+9	+3.0	12
4	St Truiden	6	4	0	2	+1	+4.4	12
5	Waregem	7	3	1	3	+1	-2.8	10
6	Westerlo	5	2	2	1	+5	+5.3	8
7	Anderlecht	5	2	2	1	+3	+4.5	8
8	Mechelen	5	2	2	1	+1	+0.2	8
9	Antwerp	7	2	2	3	+0	-0.7	8
10	Charleroi	6	2	2	2	+0	-0.2	8
11	RAAL La Louviere	6	2	2	2	-1	-4.2	8
12	Genk	5	2	1	2	+0	+2.7	7
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	1	2	3	+1	-0.7	5
14	Cercle Brugge	8	1	2	5	-4	+1.9	5
15	Standard	5	0	3	2	-4	+0.4	3
16	Dender	5	0	1	4	-6	-4.7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mechelen	7	4	2	1	+5	-3.1	14
2	Club Brugge	5	4	0	1	+3	+2.0	12
3	St. Gilloise	5	3	2	0	+5	+6.7	11
4	Anderlecht	6	3	1	2	+0	+0.1	10
5	Standard	7	3	0	4	-5	-5.6	9
6	St Truiden	4	2	2	0	+3	+4.5	8
7	Waregem	6	2	2	2	-1	-4.7	8
8	Gent	5	2	1	2	-4	-0.7	7
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5	2	1	2	-5	-1.8	7
10	Westerlo	7	1	3	3	-5	-0.0	6
11	Genk	4	1	2	1	+0	-0.9	5
12	Cercle Brugge	5	1	2	2	-1	-0.2	5
13	RAAL La Louviere	7	1	2	4	-4	-4.7	5
14	Dender	8	1	2	5	-8	-5.5	5
15	Antwerp	4	1	1	2	-2	-3.9	4
16	Charleroi	6	1	0	5	-5	-1.3	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.