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Süper Lig

Referee: Erdem Mertoglu

Kayserispor

S T T S U

0–0

Full-time

Alanyaspor

U U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kayserispor Alanyaspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

1,5

Scored

1,5

0,5

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 17%

13%

20%

Points per game

0,9

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

53%

33%

Both score Ø 60%

67%

53%

Average goals

3,1

1,9

Scored

1,0

0,9

Conceded

2,1

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,1

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,69 xG 1,15

41% Possession 59%

10 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 0

5 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 8

3 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kayserispor 17. · Alanyaspor 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	15	11	3	1	+21	+16.2	36
2	Trabzonspor	15	10	4	1	+14	+2.1	34
3	Fenerbahce	15	9	6	0	+18	+18.5	33
4	Goztep	15	7	5	3	+9	+3.8	26
5	Besiktas	15	7	4	4	+7	+15.4	25
6	Samsunspor	15	6	7	2	+6	+7.8	25
7	Gaziantep	15	6	5	4	-1	-1.8	23
8	Kocaelispor	15	5	4	6	-3	-1.4	19
9	Rizespor	16	4	6	6	-3	+1.4	18
10	Buyuksehyr	15	4	5	6	+3	-1.9	17
11	Alanyaspor	15	3	8	4	-1	-4.5	17
12	Konyaspor	15	4	4	7	-4	-2.7	16
13	Genclerbirligi	16	4	3	9	-4	-8.0	15
14	Kasimpasa	16	3	6	7	-7	-7.6	15
15	Antalyaspor	15	4	3	8	-11	-10.1	15
16	Eyüpspor	16	3	4	9	-11	-6.5	13
17	Kayserispor	15	2	7	6	-17	-9.9	13
18	Karagumruk	15	2	2	11	-16	-10.9	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	8	6	2	0	+11	+9.0	20
2	Trabzonspor	8	5	3	0	+10	+6.1	18
3	Fenerbahce	7	5	2	0	+8	+13.2	17
4	Kocaelispor	8	4	3	1	+4	+4.7	15
5	Samsunspor	8	3	4	1	+2	+6.7	13
6	Goztep	7	3	3	1	+4	+2.4	12
7	Besiktas	7	3	2	2	+2	+7.7	11
8	Gaziantep	8	3	2	3	-4	+1.9	11
9	Genclerbirligi	7	3	1	3	+1	+3.1	10
10	Rizespor	9	3	1	5	-4	+5.4	10
11	Alanyaspor	7	2	3	2	+1	-1.0	9
12	Eyüpspor	8	2	3	3	-3	-0.6	9
13	Konyaspor	8	2	2	4	-2	+0.4	8
14	Buyuksehyr	7	1	4	2	-1	-1.4	7
15	Kayserispor	7	1	2	4	-12	-3.5	5
16	Kasimpasa	8	0	4	4	-6	-1.5	4
17	Karagumruk	8	1	1	6	-8	-3.8	4
18	Antalyaspor	7	1	1	5	-10	-3.1	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	8	4	4	0	+10	+5.3	16
2	Galatasaray	7	5	1	1	+10	+7.2	16
3	Trabzonspor	7	5	1	1	+4	-4.0	16
4	Besiktas	8	4	2	2	+5	+7.7	14
5	Goztep	8	4	2	2	+5	+1.5	14
6	Samsunspor	7	3	3	1	+4	+1.1	12
7	Gaziantep	7	3	3	1	+3	-3.7	12
8	Kasimpasa	8	3	2	3	-1	-6.2	11
9	Antalyaspor	8	3	2	3	-1	-7.0	11
10	Buyuksehyr	8	3	1	4	+4	-0.4	10
11	Rizespor	7	1	5	1	+1	-4.0	8
12	Alanyaspor	8	1	5	2	-2	-3.4	8
13	Konyaspor	7	2	2	3	-2	-3.1	8
14	Kayserispor	8	1	5	2	-5	-6.4	8
15	Genclerbirligi	9	1	2	6	-5	-11.0	5
16	Kocaelispor	7	1	1	5	-7	-6.1	4
17	Karagumruk	7	1	1	5	-8	-7.1	4
18	Eyüpspor	8	1	1	6	-8	-5.9	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.